Global Analysis from the European Perspective. Preparing for the world of tomorrow

UKRAINE: Are we in for a white revolution, assassination or coup d’etat?

“I request you to release of duty the head of security, the attorney general and the minister of the defence,” said Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky in his inaugural speech which he delivered on 20th of May. Were the head of security, the attorney general and the minister of the defence listening? Obviously they were and this might spring them into action. Is it only their posts that the new president is after? Or their heads as well?

While addressing both houses of parliament, Volodymyr Zelensky appealed to the deputies to have new laws passed abolishing the immunity of the members of the legislative and imposing severe punishments for those who have enriched themselves illegally. Ultimately, much to the disbelief of the present, the new head of state said he was dissolving parliament with immediate effect, which means that also the deputies have just lost their well-paying jobs.

Will a coalition form between them and the three ministers who already know they are not tolerated by Volodymyr Zelensky? Is what the new president said a show of political zeal for his so numerous voters (73% of the ballot)? Is he backed by such strong powers that he does not need to reckon with the consequences?

Pundits have been and are still pointing to the political inexperience of the new president. Inexperienced he might well be, but even so would he be acting so foolishly right at the start of his tenure, turning his potential allies and important figures into his bitter enemies? Or were they his bitter enemies anyway and Volodymyr Zelensky merely forestalled their insidious action that is brewing anyway?

If that’s Ukraine’s white revolution (in times long gone by it might be called a palace revolution), then when would the fate offer better conditions and circumstances for it to be carried out if not now? A politician who has routed, defeated, eclipsed and politically humiliated the former president with a ratio of 7 to 3 enjoys enormous popular support and is – at least for a time – unassailable. He may also put to good use an element of surprise, because his inauguration speech was anything but a surprise.

And the most rankling question? Is Volodymyr Zelensky acting on his own and of his own? If not, then either the daring move has been agreed upon with his masterminds, and then it stands every chance of success, or it has not been consulted with those who pull the strings, and then the new president faces a miserable defeat. If he is acting on his own initiative and independently of those who made an actor the head of state, then he must reckon with the pressure that will certainly be brought to bear. Then he will be facing another choice: either bow to the powers that be or break loose and risk attack after attack after another attack. The support of the broad masses of people is something that inflates any politician’s ego, but it is not the masses which decide.

Volodymyr Zelensky may have well been Ihor Kolomoyskyi’s protege, which does not necessarily entail the former’s allegiance and unconditional obedience to his overlord. Vladimir Lenin was on Alexander Parvus’s and the German general staff’s payroll, and – to use a recent example – Hungary’s Prime Minister Victor Orban was a srudent of George Soros’s Central European University, where anti-national and anti-conservative values permeated the teaching agenda, and yet both – once power was vested in their hands – began pursuing their own policies to the dismay of their former masters and to the detriment of those masters’ interests.

What if Ukraine’s some of the three most powerful men – the head of security, the attorney general and the minister of the defence – muster determination and pull the strings to have the president – why mince words – killed? Recall President John Kennedy’s plight: a bullet put through his head put and end to his plans of breaking the monopoly of the Federal Reserve to make America’s money. Scapegoats were caught and tried, genuine culprits remain unknown. Recall Robert Kennedy, the assassinated president’s brother. The deep state operating then did not even want to risk his being elected President and chose to do away with him.

As if in anticipation of it Volodymyr Zelensky said in the same speech that he dreaded nothing: neither unpopularity nor even the loss of the presidential position. The cause, the good of the nation, was the only thing he cared about. Was it a message to those who within a few minutes would hear about their dismissal and consequently would begin to harbour hard feelings against him? Did he not want to show how much he was determined?

Volodymyr Zelensky certainly curried favour with the nation when he said he would stand up for Ukraine’s territorial integrity; he may have won over to his side some of the supporters of the former President. Still, it was his daring words with which he threw down the gauntlet to the whole system that earned him enormous admiration. As he left the parliament building and strutted confidently along the crowds of people, the thousands of throats shouted молодец! or brave lad!

Are we in for a white revolution, an assassination or coup d’etat?

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