Global Analysis from the European Perspective. Preparing for the world of tomorrow




700.000 Ukrainians, 1.000.000 Russians dead?

As we are expecting the talks between the United States and the Russian Federation over Ukraine to begin in the foreseeable future. After all, Donald Trump promised to end the war within 24 hours of taking the office of the head of state. The American President seems to be preparing for that event, but as for now we can hear statements that are strange. President Trump said a few days ago that that hostilities needed to be stopped because of the huge loss of life. How huge? The President told his listeners how huge: allegedly, the casualties are 700.000 Ukrainians and 1.000.000 Russians. Now these figures need to be looked at.

Where did the American President take those numbers from? From the CIA? From Ukrainians themselves? From President Zelensky? If these numbers correspond to reality, then one would expect that Russia would be losing the war, that the battles and skirmishes would be taking place on Russian rather than Ukrainian territory, and that there would long ago have emerged huge social unrest in Russia. As it is, it is the Ukrainian territory where fights are taking place and the Russian troops are advancing, if slowly.

How can the CIA know the number of the casualties? It is understandable in the case of Ukraine’s losses: just as Kiev is fully subordinated to Washington, so is Ukrainian military intelligence. To know the numbers on the Russian side would have required access to Russian top secret data. Is that possible that the West or the Ukrainian intelligence have such access? Sure, it is. Americans (or Ukrainians) may have an agent – a Russian working for them – who is positioned in the highest military or state circles. Yet, such an agent is too precious to give him away by quoting a more or less precise number of the dead and wounded, because such information would indicate to the Russians that they might have a traitor among their ranks. Americans would not have wanted to alert their opponents for the sheer satisfaction of telling the world that they know the number of Russian losses.

If we exclude these assumptions then two more hypotheses emerge. One is that it is possible that the American President is fed false numbers because the so called deep state – Biden’s followers – wants him to make Ukrainians continue the war effort. The other is that Donald Trump feels that the war against “evil” Russia is somehow popular because Americans and Europeans have been told for at least last three years that they are defending freedom and democracy against totalitarianism and dictatorship, and so the American President has come upon the idea of presenting his peace efforts as a purely humanitarian measure. More to it, Donald Trump might be wishing to be extending a helping hand to President Vladimir Putin, whose concerns about such huge losses of life among the Russian military must be growing with every day of the hostilities. How about that? Then also the public opinion might begin to embrace the idea of the American president becoming a go-between between Moscow and Kiev in his capacity as a saviour of lives. You see, it is the loss of lives that Donald Trump cares about. Consequently, his future peace proposals have nothing whatsoever (or very, very little) to do with the West’s surrender to Russian political and territorial demands.

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