Global Analysis from the European Perspective. Preparing for the world of tomorrow


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Europe in Crisis: Bosnia’s break-up unavoidable

A next Balkan war in Bosnia is a matter of time. The Republic of Srpska is planning on holding a referendum next Sunday, 25 September, on a seemingly minor issue. The Bosnian Serbs will be voting on the date of the “national independence day.” This referendum seems, however, to be a run-up to to a referendum on the splitting up of the country. The Serbs want to secede from Bosnia and become part of Serbia, claiming their democratic right on self-determination. Continue reading

Breaking the Siege of Aleppo Will Make Erdoğan the father of all Sunni Muslims

The events in Syria are changing rapidly. Turkey has entered Syria and is heading for Al-Bab, a city 35 kilometers from Aleppo, according to a Turkey government official and a statement issued by the Turkey-supported Muslim militia united in the FSA (Free Syrian Army).The next step is lifting the siege of Aleppo from the east. Atatürk became the Father of all Turks after he had won the Battle of Gallipoli and defeated major European powers; Erdoğan will be the father of all Sunni Muslims if he liberates Aleppo and thus gains the upper hand over Russia and Iran.

Russia, the Kurds, and the Syrian army were very close to cutting off the Raqqa-Turkey supply route. Turkey’s invasion is a gift from heaven for the Jihadists in Raqqa: it prevents them from being cut off from Turkey. Turkey’s invasion of Syria is clearly to the advantage of ISIS.

Turkey’s objectives in Syria have always been clear and these are to:

1. prevent the Kurds from gaining autonomy, destroy the YPD, the sister organisation of the PKK, and 
2. remove Assad from power.

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The Downing of Flight MS804 Can Crash the European Economy

Is the downing of MH804 the first in a series of attacks that will crash the European economy? It is not yet clear what brought the Egyptian Flight MS804 down. No Jihadist group has claimed responsibility until now. The data from the plane sent to a data center just before the crash indicates that there was smoke near the cockpit. One of the possible scenario’s is that some of the Charles De Gaulle airport staff smuggled a bomb on board of the plane. The same plot brought down the Russian plane . Charles De Gaulle already dismissed 70 staff members due to their connections with ISIS.

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Paris and Brussels Terror Attacks: Europe Pays Heavy Price For Its Complacency

JihadEurope faces an existential crisis. Current European leadership and European leading elites have manoeuvred Europe into a situation that will spin out of control and result in a vicious circle of violence. History teaches that in the long run ethnic minorities can bring about unrest. The imams in Europe, very often in the payroll of Saudi Arabia or another Gulf country, take care that their fellow Muslims retain their religious integrity and keep themselves away from the infidels. Meanwhile European authorities struggle with violent criminals who converted to radical Islam and became even more dangerous. The Dutch jihadist reintegration approach helped criminal and jihadist El Bakraoui to evade the Belgian justice system, before he blew himself up in Brussels. To understand what is happening on the old continent, let us bring up tree main topics, and then elaborate on them.

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Turkey will pay the price for having a lack of patience

photo Eugene Sergeev

photo Eugene Sergeev

It was a political decision to down the Su-24, and it reflected more the growing impatience on the part of the Turks at the Russian military actions in Syria rather than an exasperation at the violation of Turkish airspace. The decision also showed Turkish shortsightedness and political immaturity. It was a blow to Russia, one that may lphoto Eugene Sergeevead to far-reaching international consequences. The long-term consequence for Turkey may be the loss of some of her territory to Kurds.

The course of events and their background

If each single violation of a country’s airspace were to lead to the outbreak of hostilities, we would long have had world war three that would have erupted in the region of the Baltic states where such incidents caused by Russian and NATO pilots are far from being rare. The long accepted practice is that in such cases the pilots of both sides try to make eye contact in order to identify the intruder beyond any doubt. Then the alien craft is escorted out of the country’s airspace. Continue reading

Russian action in Syria will intensify war in Egypt

Egypt, being in a very difficult geopolitical position, may be the next victim of the Syrian war. The Egyptian army has beens truggling with Islamic terrorists on the Sinai Peninsula for a long time, with he Libyan branch of Islamic State causing problems in the western part of the country. Unfortunately for President Abd al-Fattah as-Sisi, with Russian raids in Syria, Islamic militants are now moving to Libya through Sinai.

Egypt did not want to get involved in the war in Syria or in Iraq, directly or indirectly, trying not to spoil the relations with Saudi Arabia. Egypt shared with Bashar al-Assad  the common aim, which is to fight the Islamic insurgency. In fact, the nation is waging a war in the north of Sinai against militant groups loyal to the Islamic State. The worst is yet to come, though. Continue reading

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There are conflicting reports about the reason of their escape. Benghazi Shura Council said all ISIS militants in Al-Sabri and Qanfouda districts were given a safe corridor by Dignity Operation fighters to leave from the western gate of the city, while Dignity Operation claims that they had secretly escaped. Source Libyaobserver










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