Global Analysis from the European Perspective. Preparing for the world of tomorrow




Europe Faces Unprecedented Demographic Pressure

The world’s demographics in Africa and Asia have changed dramatically over the last 50 years. Population in numerous African countries has a staggering growth of 300% up to almost 600%. There are no signs countries in Africa, and Central Asia can lift themselves out of poverty. The population explosion in Africa will be a driving force of large-scale migration. Many will leave their homeland to resettle in Europe and the US. This will have a profound effect on those who will stay in their countries and on those in the recipient countries.

European elites try to present immigration as a positive and cultural enrichment. However, forced re-population is a known military strategy, and is used to subjugate the enemy. William T. Sherman cabled Ulysses S. Grant: “Until we can repopulate Georgia it is useless to occupy.”1)Telegram of William T. Sherman to Ulysses S. Grant, October 9, 1864, Civil War Era NC. From an abstract point of view, it makes no difference if the re-population is done by a vicious enemy, by bureaucrats or if it happens just naturally: the effects are the same.

Today’s countries are like communicating vessels in that there are either no borders or the borders are under poor control. Human masses that happen to live in different parts of the world keep moving from country to country because they are economically ousted from one place and attracted to another. Facing no hindrances i.e. borders, but following economic incentives this movement of people(s) will only stop when a balance has been reached, no more pressure applied, no more attractive force at work. That is when Africa has become as prosperous as Europe or Europe has become as dysfunctional as Africa.

What drives people out, what pressures them to leave? Poor economy, raging war, sometimes civic or political oppression and excessive numbers of the indigenous population. What attracts people, what is this gravitational force? Better economy, word that is spread that once you set foot on European or American soil you are taken good care of and are far better off than your compatriots in your homeland. Just like in the communicating vessels, granting there are no borders, and there are almost none if you want to enter Europe, Canada or the USA.


 

Global humanitarian reasons for current U.S. immigration are tested in this updated version of immigration author and journalist Roy Beck’s colorful presentation of data from the World Bank and U.S. Census Bureau. The 1996 version of this immigration gumballs presentation has been one of the most viewed immigration policy presentations on the internet.

 


Environmentalist and NGO’s try to force upon us the idea that climate change is the key driver of migration. According to Prince Charles (he seems an expert on this kind of issues):“There is very good evidence indeed that one of the major reasons for this horror in Syria was a drought that lasted for about five or six years.” Much the same has also been said by President Obama, Al Gore, and former democratic presidential hopefuls Martin O’Malley and Bernie Sanders. Secretary of State John Kerry warned that climate change could create a new class of migrants, which he called “climate refugees”.2)Is climate change really to blame for Syria’s civil war? The Guardian 2015-11-29. These world leaders on purpose misled the populous as there was no drought of any unusual significance in Syria as the data shows 3)Drought, Climate, War, Terrorism, and Syria, Energy Matters 2014-11-24.. Prince Charles and his co-climate-conspirators did not mention, that in 50 years Syria’s population growth is a mind-boggling 400%, from 4.6 million to 18.5 million inhabitants.

The main biological driving force behind this present-day human migration is the explosion of the population growth in the third world and its corresponding reduction in affluent societies. The rapid increase in the numbers of people in Africa and Asia can be put down to Europeans themselves, rather than merely to the high birth rate we can observe on these continents. For centuries in Europe we had a birth rate similar to that we have in Africa or Asia. Yet at that time low agricultural productivity as well as poor medicine and hygiene allowed nature to take care of the excessive numbers of people: there were periods that most children did not make it into adulthood and contagious or infectious diseases would from time to time bring back the expanding population to much lower levels.

What happened in Europe was that alongside with the enhancing of agricultural yield and developing medicine, people slowly began to have fewer and fewer children, so at the time when the overwhelming majority of kids made it into adulthood, the population size did not grow as rapidly as it might have, had the birth rate remained at the same levels. Furthermore, in the latter part of the 20th century the spread of contraception and easy availability of abortion acted almost like the Black Death in the Middle Ages, lowering the birth rate of white Europeans in many countries below the replacement level, which is now being filled up with migrants4)In the United States alone since Wade vs Roe “Americans aborted as many as 1.5 million American babies each year. […] abortion has not only robbed us of 60 million Americans, it has robbed us of the children of our children and every generation thereafter. […] it might be rightfully said that immigrants are doing the jobs aborted Americans might have done. Immigrants Doing the Jobs Aborted Americans Might Have Done, cnsnews.com 2015-01-22.. These as well as their extended families back home apart from benefiting from European and American aid are not preventing their offspring from being born, thus building up the demographic pressure.

For the fifty-five years between 1960 and 2015 the population in European countries either increased insignificantly or began to decrease.

Some of the decrease in eastern Europe can be put down to emigration, some of the decrease in western Europe can be attributed to immigration from the Third World. The average population growth rate ranges between 0.9 and 1.5.

In the same time African and Asian countries saw their respective populations double, treble or quadruple:

Population Hungary Kenya

Population Germany Nigeria

 

The population growth on these continents oscillates between 2,64 up to 5,85. The lowest average is twice as high as the highest for Europe. With the fertility rate for the Europe standing at 1,6, that of Asia averages 2,2 and for Africa 4,7. In 1900 the population of Europe was three times that of Africa, in 2050 it is estimated to be the other way round. What did the excessive members of European societies do before and at the turn of the 20th century? They colonised Africa and Asia. What will the excessive members of African and Asian societies do before and at the turn of the 21th century? They will colonise Europe. Just as there were no insurmountable borders back then on the Black Continent, so there are none separating the old continent from the rest of the world. And just as Africa and Asia attracted Europeans with their natural resources, so does the European welfare system attract people from Africa and Asia.

How many people are there on the move? What’s their destination?

Table 1 5)Tables 1 – 3 are modelled after: Current World Population, worldometers.info.

Region Population (2016) Yearly Change in % Net Change Density (P/Km²) Migrants (net) Fert.Rate Med. Age World Sharein %
Asia 4,436,224,473 0,98 42,928,459
143 -1,256,133 2.2 30 59.7
Africa 1,216,129,815 2,53 29,951,533
41 -579,959
4.71 19 16.4
Europe 738,849,002
0,06 406,932 33 824,644 1.6 42 9.9
Latin America 641,029,306
1,05 6,642,739
32 -414,767
2.15 29 8.6
Northern America 360,529,324 0,75 2,691,288 19 1,235,878
1.86 38 4.9
Oceania 39,901,355 1,45 570,225 5 190,337 2.42 33 0.5

 

These are the official data for the year 2016, which has not run to its end. If the numbers of Asian, African and Latin American emigrants are added up, they equal the numbers of immigrants accommodated by Europe, Northern America and Oceania (approx. 2,252,000).

A trend like this, if sustained, portends huge cultural changes in the recipient countries, so much so that the larger a one-time influx of migrants, the smaller chances there are for them to integrate, granting integration is what they are after. Experience teaches us that people of one ethnicity (religion, culture) prefer their own company.

Some of the decrease in eastern Europe can be put down to emigration, some of the decrease in western Europe can be attributed to immigration from the Third World. The average population growth rate ranges between 0.9 and 1.5.

 


In the same time African and Asian countries saw their respective populations double, treble or quadruple:

Table 2 6)Tables 1 – 3 are modelled after: Current World Population, worldometers.info.

Country 1960 2015 a rough increase by
EUROPE
Eastern
Poland 29,637.45 37,999.49 1,26
Hungary 9,983.97 9,844.69 0,99
Czechia 9,602.01 10,551.22 1,1
Romania 18,406.90 19,832.39 1,07
Bulgaria 7,867.37 7,177.99 0,91
Belarus 8,198.00 9,513.00 1,16
Western
Germany 72,814.90 81,413.15 1,12
France 46,814.24 66,808.38 1,43
Great Britain 52,400.00 65,138.23 1,24
Italy 50,199.70 60,802.08 1,21
Spain 30,455.00 46,418.27 1,52
Sweden 7,484.66 9,798.87 1,3
Austria 7,047.54 8,611.09 1,23
Netherlands 11,486.63 16,936.52 1,48

 

Table 3 7)Tables 1 – 3 are modelled after: Current World Population, worldometers.info.

COUNTRY 1960 2015 a rough increase by
AFRICA
Algeria 11,124.89 39,666.52 3,58
Angola 5,270.84 25,021.97 4,72
Congo Dem. Rep. 15,248.25 77,266.81 5,08
Egypt 27,072.40 91,508.08 3,39
Ethiopia 22,151.22 99,390.75 4,48
Kenya 8,105.44 46,050.30 5,68
Madagascar 5,099.37 24,235.39 4,84
Morocco 12,328.53 34,377.51 2,8
Niger 3,395.21 19,899.12 5,85
Nigeria 45,211.61 182,201.96 4
Somalia 2,756.38 10,787.10 3,91
Sudan 7,527.45 40,234.88 5,35
Uganda 6,788.21 39,032.38 5,74
sub-Saharan Africa 228,268.75 1,000,980.98 4,39
ASIA
Afghanistan 8,994.79 32,526.56 3,61
Bangladesh 48,200.70 160,995.64 3,34
Iran 21,906.90 79,109.27 3,6
Iraq 7,289.76 36,423.39 5
Turkey 27,553.28 78,665.83 2,85
Pakistan 44,911.81 188,924.87 4,2
Syria 4,592.78 18,502.41 4
Vietnam 34,743.00 91,703.80 2,64
Zimbabwe 3,752.39 15,602.75 4,59

 

References   [ + ]

1. Telegram of William T. Sherman to Ulysses S. Grant, October 9, 1864, Civil War Era NC.
2. Is climate change really to blame for Syria’s civil war? The Guardian 2015-11-29.
3. Drought, Climate, War, Terrorism, and Syria, Energy Matters 2014-11-24.
4. In the United States alone since Wade vs Roe “Americans aborted as many as 1.5 million American babies each year. […] abortion has not only robbed us of 60 million Americans, it has robbed us of the children of our children and every generation thereafter. […] it might be rightfully said that immigrants are doing the jobs aborted Americans might have done. Immigrants Doing the Jobs Aborted Americans Might Have Done, cnsnews.com 2015-01-22.
5, 6, 7. Tables 1 – 3 are modelled after: Current World Population, worldometers.info.

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