Yield curve inverts: Recession indicator flashes red for first time since 2005

Shortly after 10 a.m. GMT on Wednesday, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond dipped below the yield on the 2-year U.S. Treasury as the 10-year fell 1 basis point below the 2-year. The yield curve inversion has a strong track record of predicting a recession; each of the last seven recessions (dating back to 1969) were preceded by the 10-year falling below the 2-year. Source: Yahoo Finance

China data shows growth slowdown

Retail sales in China grew 7.6% year on year, below the consensus of 8.6%, and Fixed-asset Investment (FAI) growth slowed to 5.7% in the first seven months of the year. The readings showed weakness across the board on both the demand and supply sides of the  Chinese economy, Bloomberg Economics said, adding that policy support will likely be stepped up in the coming months. Source: Bloomberg Economics

Turkish central bank dismisses chief economist and department managers

Turkey’s central bank demoted at least nine high-ranking officials including chief economist Hakan Kara, two officials said. The bank’s heads of research, banking, risk management and institutional transformation are among those who are getting new roles. This comes after Recep Tayyip Erdogan fired the governor last month for not cutting rates fast enough. Source: Reuters, Bloomberg