Global Analysis from the European Perspective. Preparing for the world of tomorrow

Ring out the old, ring in the new

“Ring out the old, ring in the new,” a poet wrote. The year 2019 like a head of state whose term is coming to an end is outgoing and in its place 2020 is incoming. The new year will take up where the old year will leave off. Of the many concerns that we have had to deal with for the last twelve months and are going to face in the next twelve months is the question of national or individual security. Whether we like it or not, the world is driven by conflict: particular people, social, racial, economic, confessional, ideological and national groups have of necessity divergent and contradictory interests and willy-nilly or with ill-intent they position themselves on a collision course with their competitors at different levels of human activity.

The December issue of Gefira focuses on state or national security because if this can be guaranteed, if governments have a strong grip on societies and political, religious, ideological, economic entities operating within and outside the many states, if governments can settle the differences dividing countries in a diplomatic way, then the chances are relatively big that huge upheavals caused by smaller players can be stopped in their tracks.

Security is the reverse of the same coin where conflict is its obverse. Since the side that is viewed as unfavourable cannot be done away with, the only thing that one can do is strike a balance between the two. Our authors have pondered over current many-faceted threats to security which governments will need to brace themselves for in 2020.


Gefira Financial Bulletin #39 is available now

  • National security against nations
  • After 1500 years the Europeans still fail to understand the reality
  • NATO facing the end?

Immigrants are more important than fellow citizens

The European elites pay homage to their new idol: “the refugee”, the immigrant. At the same time their fellow citizens are of little interest to them. They prefer to invest in the electorate of the future: in the arrivals from Africa and Asia, who are slowly but surely replacing the indigenous European population.

The discrimination against German citizens is embodied in the new Integration Act, which gives “refugees” substantial advantages that the German government does not guarantee the German people. One example is enough: the refugees who enrich German society in this way are given free courses where, in addition to the German language, a daily four-hour programme is also offered, during which they can learn the basics of some trades. Such a programme is not available to the German unemployed.
Continue reading

Greta Thunberg, a teenager berating prime ministers and presidents

Greta Thunberg, a teenager berating prime ministers and presidents over the lack of appropriate conservation of the environment, Pacha Mama, an Inca goddess in the Vatican and the Pope prioritizing the ecological sin as the gravest crime, or the Ecuadorian constitution and Bolivian legislation confers on Mother Earth with legal rights: the world is watching the unfolding events with bated breath. What is happening? Is humanity entering a new era? Is environmentalism to be viewed as a new, universal religion or a mere smokescreen that masks other objectives? The planet Earth as the human habitat can serve as the only imaginable uniting common denominator for all humankind, paving the way for a world government, or the feared the new world order. The agreements and protocols constraining and progressively eliminating the use of fossil fuels signed in Montreal, Kyoto, Paris and other places act jointly like a harness imposed on the whole planet. It is for the first time in the history of mankind that the environment rather than national, social or religious matters seem to be taking the centre stage of global politics and economy. Are we facing a Copernican revolution in the making? The November issue of Gefira takes a deeper look at this nascent phenomenon.
Read more

Gefira Financial Bulletin #38 is available now

  • The European inability to govern has dire consequences
  • The New CO2 Order of the Crypto Elites – Dark Visions of the Future
  • Pacha Mama or Green ideology

Surgeons of our minds

A piece of stats news has been broken in Poland that the number of surgeons has dropped by a quarter (one fourth, twenty-five percent) as compared to 2006. Within thirteen years. Make a guess: what happened? How did that large number of doctors disappear? Young people stopped being interested in medical studies? No. Make another guess. The demand for surgery is much smaller since society at large is healthier and healthier courtesy of the salutary regulations and decrees of the European Union? No. Make yet another guess. The surgeons emigrated to Western countries? Spot on! Bingo!

The Western intellectual circles regard it as evil to exploit weaker nations, especially the Third World countries. They love calling such behaviour fascism (a very fashionable offensive appellation) or racism or what not. Occupying moral high ground, they applaud sending doctors to Somalia or Nigeria or Bangladesh. Yet somewhat miraculously this principle does not apply when physicians from Eastern Europe keep coming to the Western states, draining East European health care systems. Why shouldn’t they after all? We need them – say Western intellectuals – our societies are growing older, there must be someone willing to take care of them.

How do the Western intellectuals reconcile their indignation at exploiting poorer (Third World) countries with depriving Eastern Europeans of their doctors? Oh, come on, another lofty principle is made use of: human rights, among which the freedom of movement is especially enshrined. So the story goes that “we do not rob the poorer countries of their doctors (engineers, teachers, professionals of any kind): they merely use their human rights and flock to places where they have better economic conditions.”

Continue reading

Stealth War Conventional and unconventional war(fare)

Manifesting itself through clubs or stones, bows or chariots, musketeers or cannon, tanks or aircraft, chemical or nuclear weapons, war has always been with us and will always remain. The history of mankind is a sine wave where peaks and troughs are periods of peace and war: the usual human activity determined by conflicting interests.
All the elements of warfare have always been present though some of its facets are more pronounced now than ever before. Since in the modern age hot war means enormous material wipeout and a huge loss of human life coupled with assured mutual destruction, modern war is waged more with economic, IT and especially propaganda means. An aggressor does not necessarily need brute force to subdue the will of his opponent: a modern aggressor may resort to a whole gamut of weaponry such as psychological operations, stock exchange speculations, colour revolutions, coups d’état, human-rights movements, geopolitical vacuums, international treaties, (seemingly) non-governmental
organizations, supranational corporations, international awards and all other conceivable instruments that are at the aggressor’s disposal to bring a political, moral or economic pressure to bear on the aggressor’s target state. This modern warfare goes by different names of which hybrid warfare, stealth war or intangible war are the most frequently used. The October issue of Gefira presents the theory and practice of this kind of international conflict. Read more

Gefira Financial Bulletin #37 is available now

  • Preparation for stealth war and its arsenal
  • The dynamism of the economic destruction of a target country
  • Formation of civil resistance
  • The Europeans are destroying their energy security
  • Oil and gas companies are a great investment with a risk

Populism vs Mobilization

Populations grow despite the best efforts of abortionists. Even a cursory look reveals that abortions routinely only take place in high income countries. Populism occurs where people express its dissenting voice i.e. vox populi and mobilization is where the underclass is organized to dissent (protest) against its elites.

From an elitist point of view the age-old question is always how to manage the underclasses. It can be compared to a CEO managing the company night watchman or an African King his herdsman. In an organized structure these managerial techniques are generally successful because the manager is ahead of the curve, while with respect to populism or mobilization, it is behind the curve.

Generally speaking a company manager is subtly reminded on a daily basis of the performance of low level employees and the same holds good for the African King. When referring to “elites”, it becomes obvious (by their very actions) that they are so far removed from reality that all control is essentially lost. The elitist lifestyle becomes decadent to the extent that they don’t care what their underclasses do and are always surprised by those “deplorable populists” and their mobilization.

The reaction of the elites to these “uprisings” differ with respect to whether it is populist or mobilized. In high-income America they become viciously anti-populists while in communist China they exert MORE control.

Violence against high-income country populists is also visible in Francewhile almost no action is taken in low-income (communist) South Africa against xenophobiawhere the elitesare also attempting to improve measures of control (such as to reduce unproductive protests against municipal service deliveries).

Continue reading

A Citizen’s Snapshot of South Africa, September 2019

Despite being a second-class citizen in South Africa,I may still express my opinionin a country that has declared itself a democracy.This article is therefore written in the context of “Fair-Discrimination”meaning that I am not allowed to discriminate against any person of colour, but that any person of colour may discriminate against me for the content of this (white) article (even if it is published in a different country – in which case I should use a pseudonym).

South Africa, a country with roughly the size of Texas and a population of less than 60 million people, has 9 provinces and eleven official languages. There are two main cities, one of which is Cape Town – the seat of parliament, and Pretoria – the seat of the government and home to the diplomatic corps. Besides, Johannesburg is the business and Durban the harbour city. Cape Town is also home to hi-tech because of the juncture of undersea cable connections and a preferred destination for royal elites who are attracted by its mild Mediterranean climate. Unfortunately though, Cape Town is also the world’s murder capital. That this would affect the economy is no surprise.
Continue reading

gif loading

We are quoted by:

Gefira-Bulletin #39

Security is almost synonymous with independence or freedom. One cannot be independent or free if one is stripped of the right or capability to control one's destiny. What does it mean to be in control of one's destiny? It means to be able to persist in existence, preserve heritage, take sovereign decisions, freely dispose of material and human resources, pursue desired policies in an attempt to achieve specific targets. None of these is given once and for all: a nation is always under the threat of being deprived of its sovereignty, of it independence – in a word: of its security. Security is generally viewed as the ability to defend one's interests in a military way. Such a view is admittedly legitimate but security can also be compromised or undermined by a myriad of other actions pertaining to economy, international politics or the noosphere. The problem of ensuring security must be based on the assumption that (1) the world is divided into a number of entities and that (2) the interests of these entities are on a collision course. The latter may result from someone's ill will (a proverbial creepy dictator having a desire of military conquest) or from the very nature of things: nations, businesses, groups – just like individuals – compete.


Add to cart


+Definition of security
+National security against entities other than states
+The noosphere
+EU’s perverse capitalism
+NATO facing the end?
+After 1500 years the Europeans still fail to
+understand the reality

Gefira-Bulletin #38

The formation of the first green parties and their presence in national parliaments appeared to be a passing phenomenon. Politically, the end of the ninetieth and almost the whole of the twentieth centuries were marked by either national, confessional or social parties or a mixture of the two or three ideological trends. Depending on the country or the social standing, people were oriented towards the fight for an independent statehood or economic betterment or religious rights. The latter half of the twentieth century increasingly saw the emergence of parties whose political platform embraced cultural changes and concern about the environment. Rather than fading out, the green ideology was progressively gaining currency and winning support among the citizenry. Green parties began to sprout. The movement has not been suppressed. Quite the opposite happened: it found favourable media coverage and financing. Since the movement has not been crushed nor sidetracked, since it attracts influential followers and enjoys tremendous support, it might as well be inferred that it serves a purpose. Solemn declarations sound good, but money, especially big money, is channelled for causes that are either materialistic or spiritual. If the former is true, then the green ideology may be harnessed to drive competitors out of the market or to boost the economy or to pave the way for a more global world; if the latter is true, then the green ideology is replacing Christianity and may be an offer of a syncretic faith capable of uniting the whole of humanity around the least common denominator: the human habitat. It may also be that the two are intertwined, with some people following their economic or political interests and


Add to cart


Western political, religious, media and business elites no longer form a coherent union with their state and people. It is not so in China. There the interests of the Communist Party overlap with those of the nation. Nation states are founded upon the idea that socioeconomic classes with their often discrepant interests belong to a larger community which guarantees the pursuit of particular class goals. Until the 1990s, the nation-state was important for the economic growth and cohesion of a population in Western Europe and the US. After World War Two it was not capitalism, individualism or democracy that made Western societies prosper. In countries like West Germany, France, Japan, Great Britain and the Netherlands, roughly 40 to 50% of the economy was created by the state, and the other half was regulated by governments. In the Netherlands, it was forbidden to export cheese without the state's permission which was only granted if the cheese was of sufficient quality. Dutch cheese was world-famous and bad quality cheese could damage the image of the entire Dutch dairy sector. The individual interest or freedom to sell cheese abroad was subdued to the national interest and the good name of the Dutch nation.