Global Analysis from the European Perspective. Preparing for the world of tomorrow




Spain is a new window for African immigrants

Only a year ago, most African “refugees” came to Italy from Libya. Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte and Interior Minister Matteo Salvini in cooperation with the Libyan authorities and the Libyan coastguard took action to curb this procedure, and so Italy ceased to be the main migration route. Now Spain has become a new window for African immigrants wanting to get to Europe.

The number of immigrants reaching the Old Continent through the Iberian Peninsula is growing with every year. From the beginning of January to August 5, a total of over 59 thousand traveled to Europe by sea, of whom fewer than 19,000 went to Italy, over 16,000 to Greece, and almost 24,000 to Spain,which is more than 40% of all the so-called refugees arriving in the Old Continent.

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Highly fertile women from Africa are the secret of Swedish high birth rate

It was by accident that the Official Statistics of Sweden revealed that Sweden is importing highly fertile Africans to hide the country’s child-friendly policy failure.

All productive white nations are in a demographic decline, and so is Sweden. The feminist authorities in Sweden maintain that they can combine gender equality, which among others translates into a high women labour participation, with a childbearing level that is sufficient to sustain the welfare state. The Swedish media and academics proclaimed over and over again that Swedish women are outstanding in giving birth to children. It is a widely published fact that the country’s childbearing is close to the replacement rate of 2.1.

However, a closer look at the data reveals that Swedish women’s fertility is a meagre 1.66, i.e. as low as the Dutch and slightly better than German. The data of the Official Statistics of Sweden also shows that Sweden in order to meet its demographic objectives is importing highly fertile women from the world’s most impoverished countries. Continue reading

The UN gives an unconditional green light for shifting “rescued” to Europe

The global establishment goes out of its way to increase the number of immigrants in Europe. If the governments of particular states such as Hungary, Poland or now Italy oppose these activities, they are internationally marginalized. And if an action goes counter to the plans of international organizations, they are trying to come up with new legal interpretations that will be binding on the parties concerned. All of which is only possible because the EU member countries have relinquished their sovereignty and transferred it to international institutions.

The Italian authorities, which are increasingly strongly opposed to the pressure from the UN and non-governmental organizations, are effectively counteracting the stream of African immigrants. Thus Italy ceases to be the main migratory route to Europe, which is not accepted by the NGOs or international institutions. Still, events from the end of July related to the Italian ship Asseo Ventotto, as described below, make migration from Europe legal and even desirable. Continue reading

Lesson from Iran

American companies that have invested so much in the fracking technology are interested in raising the price of crude oil. It can only be done if the largest producers agree on the quantities that they put on the world market. Iran since the time when the pro-American shah was deposed has not been on friendly terms with the United States and so it will not go hand in hand with American plans. That is the reason why it must be put out of the equation, and that is also why Washington is looking for pretexts to go to war with Tehran.

Rumour about the impending war against Iran has persisted for some time now. After Yugoslavia, Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya and Syria Tehran appears to be the next target. Washington is taking firm steps against Iran. As for now these are economic only. Rumour about a possible coalition uniting, apart from the United States, also Saudi Arabia, Israel and Australia is already spreading. What does Iran stand accused of? Of attempting to produce its own nuclear weapons and supporting – yes, you guessed it right – terrorism. The usual stuff. Continue reading

The new ‘OPEC DEAL’ approved in Helsinki: the United States, Russia and Saudi Arabia

Crude oil is a product that has always given rise to intense speculation in which respect it is second only to cryptocurrencies. This commodity yielded lower and lower revenues, which was caused by its abundant supply which occurred after the international sanctions imposed on Iran had been lifted: in one and a half years the price of the barrel dropped from 110 USD in June 2014 to 30 USD in January 2016.

It is not only too low but also too high value of oil that is problematic for governments, and this is because citizens may show their dissatisfaction with expensive fuel at the ballot box (in the United States senate by-elections are scheduled for November), since more expensive oil means more expensive transport, which sooner or later entails a rise in prices of virtually all other goods. Continue reading

Sweden will remain Sweden but just in name

For some time now the Gefira Team has been keeping track of the demographic processes that are taking place in Europe, especially in its Western part. This time Gefira published a report on Sweden, a well-developed, typical Western state, member of the European Union. The report includes independent calculations, using dedicated demographic software Cerberus 2.0. The report is based on the input that is taken from the official bureaus of statistics.

The Gefira findings based on the official data provided by Statistics Sweden SCB reveal what follows:

  1. the fertility rate of native white Swedes is much lower (1,6) than the country’s overall fertility rate (1.9);
  2. the Swedish parental system fails to deliver more babies;
  3. the number of children with an Islamic name is growing at a fast pace. Since 2010 it has increased by more than 30%, so that now around 8 to 10% of the newborns in Sweden have an Islamic name.
  4. the native white Swedish population will be a minority within a maximum of 40 years. The same source shows that 22% of the newborns have a non-Western migration background.

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Inflation and unemployment as a result of the demographic explosion – the new Arab Spring is in the making

Every now and then we receive information about the outbreak of social protests in the Middle East and North Africa. January: strikes were staged in Tunisia against the rise in prices for basic products. February: riots broke out in Jordan against the rise in food prices. July: mass protests in Iraq caused by unemployment.Egypt has not yet followed suit, but it is just a matter of time before the unhappy population takes to Tahrir Square again.

These events are said to have been caused by social dissatisfaction with the rise in prices of elementary goods and high unemployment rates, but the root of the problem is deeper. Continue reading

Europe cannot cope with any further armed conflict on the continent

European leaders are not only unable to counteract the demographic crisis on the Old Continent, but also lose ground in terms of defense. President Trump’s skepticism and reservation about the military ideas of European bureaucrats Ankara’s increasingly aggressive actions towards Cyprus and Greece, and the rapprochement between Turkey and Russia highlight NATO’s weakness on the eve of its summit in Brussels.

Europe stands no chance if forced to face conflict on three fronts. Two of them are of conventional character: on the eastern flank, where there are continuous tensions with Russia, and in the Balkans near the border with Turkey. The third concerns the Mediterranean area, where young and strong men from Africa and Central Asia cross European borders with the support of a thousand people from the continent’s heartland. Europeans are also militarily involved in Afghanistan, Syria and take part in the growing conflict in Mali.

While Europe is losing its allies, Russia and Turkey are looking for alternative directions of cooperation. Turkey has ceased to be a credible member of NATO, and there are growing fears of the US’s non-engagement in European conflicts. The Gefira team compares the capabilities of the North Atlantic Alliance, without taking into account the American and Turkish armed forces, with those of Moscow and Ankara. The conclusion is clear: the European potential is too weak to deal with any dispute on NATO’s eastern and south-eastern borders. Continue reading

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Gefira-Bulletin #25

Gefira #25 makes an observation that the Western world is torn by two growing antagonisms which are the United States against Europe and the old European Union against its new member states. The Old Continent's external and internal policies continue to be controlled by the leftist and (neo)liberal Brussels establishment, Frankfurt bankers and the pro-migration lobbyists that are bent on changing the face of Europe. Meanwhile Saudi Arabia's authorities are planning to restructure the national economy in recognition of the fact that crude oil will slowly lose its importance due to the demographic decline and because the world’s automotive industry will soon switch to vehicles powered by electricity. Riyadh is already building mega cities where new branches of industry will become the country’s driving force.

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Gefira #25 makes an observation that the Western world is torn by two growing antagonisms which are the United States against Europe and the old European Union against its new member states. The Old Continent's external and internal policies continue to be controlled by the leftist and (neo)liberal Brussels establishment, Frankfurt bankers and the pro-migration lobbyists that are bent on changing the face of Europe. Meanwhile Saudi Arabia's authorities are planning to restructure the national economy in recognition of the fact that crude oil will slowly lose its importance due to the demographic decline and because the world’s automotive industry will soon switch to vehicles powered by electricity. Riyadh is already building mega cities where new branches of industry will become the country’s driving force. Read more subscribe:

Gefira 25 Content

From TTIP to trade wars overnight.
Trump’s pivot shifts to Asia.
The Devil’s Alliance.
Cognitive dissonance is growing.

Saudi Vision 2030: The Saudis have given up on their own nation.
NEOM or a new fantasy country.

Recommendations.
North Korea presents a tremendous investment opportunity.
The lightest metal will shine brighter than gold.
The prospects for hydrogen are even better.

Gefira-Bulletin #24

Gefira #24 gives in interesting insight into the world of tomorrow in which the Eurasian continent will be the global pivot with China and Russia playing the tune and the rest of the world toeing the line. The Old Continent will split into a racial mix in the West and the White Man's habitat in the East. The United States will see its final days of glory as a superpower, while Africa, apart from experiencing a demographic explosion, will not undergo significant changes, and its possible colonization by China or Turkey is doomed to failure. The new geopolitical situation might be advantageous to such middle-sized countries as Iran, Kazakhstan or Turkey, with the latter wanting to re-draw its borders. The American economic dream is dying, and the rivalry between Washington and Brussels is anything but over.

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Gefira #24 gives in interesting insight into the world of tomorrow in which the Eurasian continent will be the global pivot with China and Russia playing the tune and the rest of the world toeing the line. The Old Continent will split into a racial mix in the West and the White Man's habitat in the East. The United States will see its final days of glory as a superpower, while Africa, apart from experiencing a demographic explosion, will not undergo significant changes, and its possible colonization by China or Turkey is doomed to failure. The new geopolitical situation might be advantageous to such middle-sized countries as Iran, Kazakhstan or Turkey, with the latter wanting to re-draw its borders. The American economic dream is dying, and the rivalry between Washington and Brussels is anything but over. Read more subscribe:

Gefira 24 Content

2020-2030 The world will shift to the East.
China will become a mature economy and the US will have a full rival.
Turkey – the next emerging Islamic Power.
The European-US infighting has begun.

The American dream is dying.

Recommendations.

Africa’s long-term perspective is disastrous.
Turkey.
Cacao.

 
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