Global Analysis from the European Perspective. Preparing for the world of tomorrow

Czechia joins the Me-Too Movement

You will have remembered the me-too movement growing thick and fast in the United States and springing over to Europe. All of a sudden, as if on order, a number of well-known women – show-business celebrities – one after another, publicly, began accusing well-known men – show-business entrepreneurs or politicians if the distinction is important – of abusing them sexually, of mistreating them, of even raping them… twenty, thirty or so years earlier. The accused wriggled and squirmed in front of the cameras, either dismissing the allegations or offering grovelling apologies for any minute impropriety that they may have been guilty of. Some of the accused got Scot-free, others had to pay a price, sometimes a heavy price, as was the case with movie producer Harvey Weinstein.

So, too, particular governments have this particular capability of retrieving past events from their memories and putting them to good use at present. The year was 2014, the place – Vrbětice, a village in eastern Czechia, close to the border with Slovakia. Two explosions with a one-month interval between them took place in the local arms and ammunition depots, killing two people and causing a huge material loss. A due investigation was carried out and in 2016 the case was closed: gross negligence was the root cause of the accident.

Explosion in the ammunition depot in Vrbětice

A few years fast forward and – lo and behold! – the news is broken that the explosions were not accidental but purposeful and that they were caused by – how otherwise! – Russian agents. To be strictly correct, not merely by Russian agents, but by the GRU Russian agents. These three letters – G.R.U. – enormously feed the imagination of an average European who is just a little bit interested in politics and modern history as the GRU (Главное управление Генерального штаба – Main Directorate of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation) is credited with unmatched effectiveness, by far surpassing that of the well-known KGB. To the readers of the books authored by the former Soviet agent Victor Suvorov (real name: Vladimir Rezun) – Aquarium, Inside the Military Intelligence, Spetsnas. The Story Behind the Soviet SAS – the abbreviation GRU rings big bells.

Needless to say, we will not know the genuine perpetrators of the event and all we can do is to pose questions and work out plausible scenarios; we may also point to coincidences, contradictions, inaccuracies and statements that fly in the face of common sense.

The news about Vrbětice was well-timed: a few days earlier US President Biden accused his Russian counterpart of being a killer, a murderer, someone who sends henchmen to various places in the world with the task of eliminating individuals who he regards as dangerous for Russia. The case of Sergei and Yulia Skripal, who were allegedly the targets of a poisonous attack of Russian agents, the case of Alexei Navalny, who survived an apparently similar attempt on his life, have duly been brought again to the public attention. The Vrbětice affair also coincides neatly with the anniversary of the Smolensk Air Disaster of 10 April 2010, a disaster that killed Poland’s president, a number of ministers, top brass of the country’s military and other important figures. Needless to say, an assumption has been made and recently revived that the disaster was caused by an explosion of a bomb planted on board the plane. Poles, in their majority sharing deep-seated anti-Russian sentiments, do not need much evidence to know who the perpetrators were, so much so that Polish President Lech Kaczyński, who died in the accident, pursued a policy that ran counter to the wishes of the Kremlin.
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Gefira 53: The World Nearing a Historic Breakthrough

Gefira 53 – The World Nearing a Historic Breakthrough – deals with the three breakthrough changes that the world is facing or rather is already undergoing: the gigantic transformation of the cultural paradigm (posthumanism, an ever increasing variety of genders, the environment and climate as man’s new deity), the epic contention between the United States (the declining superpower), China (the rising superpower), Russia (the defeated superpower at the stage of rebirth) and the restructuring of the overall system of financial settlements.

The unfolding events bear a striking resemblance to what mankind has already experienced in recorded history. The religious-like concern about or worship of the planet earth is a throwback to the heathen past, while the fight against – excuse the word – farting cows calls to mind Mao Zedong’s campaign against sparrows. The heightened tensions between the United States, Russia and China can be compared to a whole gamut of historical rivalries beginning with the wars waged between the Greek city-states and Persia and ending up with the Second World War. Money has not been used in the same form for millennia: before coins humanity had known barter, after coins humanity began using paper money, fiat money and ultimately electronic impulses. Now the global financiers are about to do without cash. With the enforcement of total control over everybody’s virtual wallet, barter is likely to be resurrected as a kind of defence against the omnipotent and omniscient government. Also the cultural change which is being effected is not particularly anything new but for two exceptions: it seems that for the first time in all of history an attack is being carried out against the two biological sexes while white nations – and that is the other quirk – are deliberately and willingly working towards being replaced by nonwhite peoples.

With these problems in mind, the authors of Gefira 53 take a particular look at the phenomenon that is commonly referred to as cancel culture, at the creation of central bank digital currencies and at Ukraine, which may play a role similar to the one played by Serbia or Bosnia and Herzegovina in 1914, where the First World War began, or to the one played by Czechoslovakia or Poland in 1938-1939, where the Second World War started.


Gefira Financial Bulletin #53 is available now

  • The World Nearing a Historic Breakthrough
  • Cancel Culture
  • Ukraine
  • The Great Digital Upheaval

Russians will seize the Donbass

yet, not in the nearest future. The world mass media have been sounding alarm about Russians marshalling their troops and moving them about their territory with the alleged intention of invading the aforementioned easternmost region of Ukraine and incorporating it into Russia just as it was done with the Crimea. The international atmosphere has been whipped up by Ukrainian President Zelensky, who has recently made a demand that Russia give back the Crimea. Kiev intends to take steps against Russian occupation – as they keep saying – of the peninsula and has even made suggestions that Germany – the country tied with Russia by means of one completed and one almost completed natural gas pipeline – render assistance. Obviously, Ukrainians believe that when the West expresses its support for Kiev’s ambitions, it means it in all seriousness.

Just to remind the reader. Ukraine was created by the Bolsheviks as a soviet socialist republic, one of the many making up the Soviet Union. Ukraine was called into existence the way Nebraska or California or Pennsylvania were. Initially the new state within the larger union-state only comprised those parts of Western Russia which for a couple of centuries belonged to – in different historical periods – Lithuania, Poland, the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth, Austria, and Austria-Hungary. The people living under non-Russian rule developed a slightly different language from Russian. Much the same is true of Belarus, at present a state, formerly a soviet socialist republic created on a chunk of territory that once belonged to Lithuania, then the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth. After the Soviets had established the Ukrainian Socialist Republic, they decided to carve a few regions out of southern Russia and join it to Ukraine. This is how the Donbass region became a part of Ukraine. The republic’s area and population grew larger and… more Russian in its ethnic composition. The latest chunk ceded by the Russian republic was that of the Crimea. In 1954 Chairman Khrushchev – of at least partly Ukrainian descent – arbitrarily took that decision. Nobody asked the residents of the Crimea whether they wanted to be shifted from Russian to Ukrainian jurisdiction. They did not care about that anyway because they all – Russians, Ukrainians, Tajiks, Lithuanians, Kazakhs – were citizens of the Soviet Union just as Texans or Virginians are citizens of the United States. When, however, the Soviet Union fell into pieces and particular republics became independent states, millions of people woke to a new reality: suddenly Russians ceased being Soviet citizens and became Lithuanian, Estonian, or Ukrainian citizens. Quite a change in someone’s life. When then the Kiev government started enforcing the Ukrainian language on all residents of Ukraine, Ukrainian Russians i.e. people living in eastern Ukraine – the Donetsk and Lugansk regions – rebelled. Imagine Texas or Arizona being incorporated into Mexico and then imagine that the authorities issue a decree according to which all residents of the two previously American states must speak Spanish rather than English.

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Aaiun Nin helps an ancient city combat intolerance

Black skin in the forsaken outback
of the world
both concrete and jungle
in varying states of decomposition
and men in a corner
ordering girls to smile
stiff with rigor mortis
all bones no flesh

Aaiun Nin was born in Angola. She is an activist and – as so many black men and women – a poet. She writes about the most important and prevalent global problem: racism and the sorry plight of people with non-heterosexual orientation. Her poems recount the sexual violence, religious fundamentalism and patriarchal society in her home country and since 2016 – the year she set foot on European soil – the discrimination against immigrants and the systematic police violence that is practised in Scandinavian countries against people of colour.

Heavy hands of grown people
Covering their mouths.
Scream in silence.
The first dying.
Body is a body
Body is a body
Flesh is not yours
Growing flesh of adolescence.
Unripe flesh ready for picking.

Aaiun Nin could not live in Angola because of the homophobia ingrained among her compatriots, because Angolan law does not recognise marriage between individuals of the same sex and because the Catholic Church frowns upon unions of such people. This outstanding woman – she has mastered six languages! – could not safely continue her residence in the country of her birth, especially with her same-sex partner, and so she left the Dark Continent straight for Denmark, where she spent a couple of years, enriching world literature with her poetry. You can read fragments of one poem in between the paragraphs.

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Ursula von der Leyen’s evangelism

On March 21st, President of the European Commission (read prime minister of the European Superstate Government) Ursula von der Leyen saw it fit to impress on Europeans – in a patronising, chaperon-like manner – the ugliness of racism that some of them display and indulge in. In a tweet, she is recorded to say that racism is ubiquitous, pervading our streets, and our workplaces and also penetrating institutions, which is the reason why the European Commission (government) has adopted the first ever EU Anti-Racist Action Plan. An ardent apostle of diversity, Ursula von der Leyen said that the Commission members were inspired upon seeing many Europeans taking to the street and shouting the slogan Black Lives Matter. She expressed her pride at the EU organizing the first ever European Anti-Racism Summit on 21st March and then went on to engage in threats aimed at racists all cross the Union, levelling at them (existing and not yet existing) criminal law provisions because – she explained as if in anticipation of possible accusations – racism could not be subsumed under the concept of free speech in – “our” as she put it – union. Who does she mean by our? Never mind. These anti-racist measures – continued the head of the EU – must be adopted by all the provinces (commonly referred to as member-states) because anti-racism is a founding principle of – again – our union, which is a red threat (obviously she meant thread) running through seventy years of history. Then, on a positive note (a piece of carrot after the stick) she waxed lyrical recalling the late eighties when eighty thousand young people had been asked to come up with a motto for “our” union and – surprise, surprise – they had chosen “Unity and Diversity”, surely without anybody prompting them to do so. At this point, Ursula von der Leyen spread her arms out, approvingly, as if she wanted to embrace the European Red Guards and she lavished praise on the politically savvy young people. What they had done was perfect, she said, what they had chosen reflected – as she put it – raison d’etre of the Union and its greatest aspiration: the Union’s starting point and the Union’s destination. Amen.
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New Cold War

By the common consent of researchers of the past, historical eras are marked by speeches that later came down as famous, as hallmarks or watersheds, as harbingers of the events to come. Such was the case with the Fulton speech given by Winston Churchill, which announced the beginning of a cold war. Such was Vladimir Putin’s speech in Munich, in which the Russian President signalled a turn in the relations between Moscow and the Western world. Such was the (plagiarized) speech delivered by Martin Luther King that put the United States on the way to sloughing off its white majority. Was Joe Biden’s ABC interview – fraught with unbridled, wild accusations – the opening salvo of a new cold war?

In this short interview President Biden managed to call Putin names and threaten Russia with a ‘price to pay’. True, the word ‘killer’ in reference to Vladimir Putin was said by the interviewer while the interviewee merely said his affirmative yes, but still. Joe Biden enriched his compliments to his Russian counterpart, stating that the Russian leader had no soul. To make things worse, the administration’s spokeswoman upon being asked whether President Biden regretted his words replied that he did not.

A few days prior to the interview, the British authorities made a statement that Russia was a national threat to the Isles. Were these two events a planned, orchestrated attack on Moscow or just a coincidence? Russia is held responsible for an ever-growing list of instances of bad conduct. Now its secret services attempt an assassination of a dissident, now they meddle in American elections; now they denigrate Western politicians, now they give support to dictators, and so on. The political world stage reminds one of a children’s story, where we have eternally innocent rabbits and eternally rapacious wolves; where we have the good guys – the United States and the European Union – and the bad guys – Russia, Iran and China plus their satellites. The world would have long been in the state of universal bliss but for Russia, but for this or that dictator, it is commonly understood.

It is strange that Moscow has not yet been held responsible for all the recent black riots in America. If the Russian tentacles are allegedly so operative as to meddle in the elections held within the borders of the only superpower, why, they should as well be capable of staging street riots and – why not? – unleashing the never-ending columns of refugees/escapees/immigrants on their way to cross the southern US border, settle down in the States and thus destabilize the socioeconomic status quo.

The topic of immigrants was also broached in the interview. American soil is being inundated by an ever increasing human avalanche. Yes, the Biden administration ostentatiously reversed the anti-immigration course of the Trump administration, but even the do-gooders like Nancy Pelosi must feel that the welfare system is going to be overwhelmed. With the pandemic restrictions and the rising debt, the future looks bleak. Who knows, maybe the establishment needs an international conflict with no less an enemy than a nuclear power? American society might be consolidated around its leader, while under such extraordinary circumstances all his domestic failures might be forgiven and forgotten. The President might also gain in popularity even among those who did not vote for him. That might be a plan.

And yet, “something is rotten in the state of America”.The great racial and ethnic replacement (nonwhites are already a majority among the school-goers), the sweeping revolution in the morals, the soaring debt, the rise of China, the failure in Syria, the return of Russia as a global player, plus the president whose senile conduct resembles that of Comrade Chernenko and Comrade Andropov – all of those bode ill for the Land of the Free. A video clip showing Joe Biden clumsily climbing the steps to Air Force One is doing the rounds. A mirror image of the United States.

President Biden falls on Air Force One stairs, YouTube.

Gefira 52: What has gone wrong with our society?

Gefira 52 concerns itself with the question of what has gone wrong with our society. Things that at least superficially are generally regarded as beneficial have turned or are being turned into their opposite. The dream about a society where differences are based on merit and merit alone and where law is the same for everyone has degenerated into a fantasy about not merely equality of chances but equity of outcomes! The farther we progress as humankind, the more numerous calamities afflict us. It is not only racism, xeno- or homophobia; these have been supplemented with such alleged ills as objectivity, paternalism, ableism, ageism, mentalism, perfectionism, power hoarding, individualism, microaggressions, and so on, and so forth, the list has no end. Some of the items enumerated above (ableism, ageism, mentalism) are words that you will have difficulties finding in a thick dictionary; the use of others, those positive words that we are all familiar with (objectivity, paternalism, perfectionism, individualism), inverted in their meaning and applied to describe social drawbacks, perplex us in their new overtones and render us dumbfounded. All these phenomena very often ending in ism are said to be ubiquitous, pervade all human activities not excepting state or social institutions, from school to government, from family to community. We all are believed to be psychologically flawed in one way or another without having the slightest awareness of it. Especially white people are a sitting duck for all manner of attackers and their detractors. White people are held to be responsible for all vileness, malevolence, iniquity and baseness of social life. Conversely, people of colour are without blemish: the eternal victims of white racism, vehicles of moral high ground. People of colour are to be elevated and placed on plinths and apologised to, genuflected to and adored. Conversely, traces of white people’s grandeour are systematically obliterated.

Non-governmental organisations, too, once conceived as auxiliary organs which would step in where governments proved to be absent or ineffective have been taken over by the world’s movers and shakers. Now NGOs are implementing and amplifying the agenda of the powers that be and, indeed, at times so brazenly and unashamedly, that state authorities are beginning to see things through and bridle or ban these organisations.

Why are social ills piling up and multiplying? Why, despite so much effort to the contrary, all the isms that we have listed above (and many more!) allegedly persist and metastasize? Are these isms natural phenomena or instruments with which a group of powerful individuals are attaining their goals through creating manageable chaos? Are the people who commit themselves to the combat against all those isms (and many that have not yet been invented!) in their right senses? Are they useful idiots, misty-eyed individuals, well-meaning trendsetters or cynical careerists? What has gone wrong?


Gefira Financial Bulletin #52 is available now

  • What has gone wrong with our society?
  • Racism, Racism Everywhere, White Supremacy Never Shrinks
  • NGOs and Foundations
  • Why Google is harmful or why you should invest in artificial intelligence

The University of Amsterdam wants to get rid of a research report on the cost of immigration

When social peace is based on people’s ability to believe in something they don’t actually believe in, paradoxical thinking prevails. In 2006, above an article in the Financial Times, the following curious headline read: “The troubled cosmopolitan: how migrants enrich an increasingly concerned host.” While there is high unemployment among non-Western immigrants in Western countries, Western intellectuals still believe that overall non Western immigration is economically beneficial to white European countries. Probably it was because of this conviction that the University of Amsterdam agreed to contribute to an extensive research on the cost or benefits of immigration.

After 3 years of extensive data analysis the researchers published their results in a report called: “Boundless Welfare State”. The report examined the public cost, like social security and public income such as taxes collected from immigrants. It turned out that especially non-Western immigration is a huge burden for Dutch society. Immigrants have cost the Dutch people 400 billion euro over the last few decades. If the Dutch state continues to accept more immigrants, the expenditure will only go up further. The report not only estimated the enormous burden of mass-immigration for the Dutch population, it also did away with the belief that education could elevate poor immigrants from Africa and Central Asia.

It came as no surprise that the academic community of Amsterdam was unhappy with the outcome. Facts are only facts whether or not they are in line with the current political and religious convictions. That was as much the case in Galileo’s day as it is now. The report was produced with the full cooperation of the University of Amsterdam, which demanded that the researchers remove the university’s name and logo from the report and all references to the sponsor of the survey.
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