Global Analysis from the European Perspective. Preparing for the world of tomorrow




Macron – No taxation without representation

The mass protests on the streets of French cities recall the first years of the American War of Independence. In the years before and during the American Independence Movement, the resentment that independence advocates harboured was that the Thirteen Colonies were obliged to pay taxes to the British Crown without being represented in the British Parliament by their own elected deputies. The slogan of the founding fathers of American democracy at the time was “No taxation without representation”. Nowadays it could be inscribed on the flags of the Yellow Vests, the movement that opposes additional taxation by Macron’s government. The government represents the interests of the Brussels technocrats, i.e. bankers and large corporations, and not those of the French people. Brussels does not allow holes in the state budget, does not tolerate anyone who does not abide by its fiscal guidelines. The French were persuaded that they retained sovereignty, although for years the princes from Brussels (commissioners of the revolution against sovereignty of states – Timmermans, Juncker and others) have been setting the course for France. Although the French deputies allegedly represent their people in the European Parliament, they are not proposed directly by the people, but by the parties. Most voters have swallowed the bait for years that the parties act in their interests, but even the dimmest dummy gets wise over the years. Voters in the 21st century must not be treated as they were in the 19th: the first cracks in the beautiful image of the handsome president, whom the German media describe as “visionary”, appeared when he reduced property tax on real estate. French citizens could not swallow it. Though the move was supposed to keep money in the country, Macron was denounced by low earners as the “president of the rich”.

The riots on the French roads are mainly due to the standard of living. The more abrupt the drop in the standard of living, the more violent the riots. What happened in a welfare state that was Greece 20 years ago also seems to be a future scenario for France: a gradual impoverishment of society until the outbreak of the next social and political revolution. Even now, 3 million unemployed people in France live on the subsistence minimum, and the proponent of Merkel’s refugee policy and ex-investment banker from the Rothschild Bank, who strangely enough turned into a quasi-socialist, claims that in France “just walking across the street is enough to find a job”.His idea of additional taxation of the fuel was the last straw that broke the camel’s back after thirty, forty years of the failed politics of the Paris elites. The commuters from the outskirts of the city and the losers of globalisation in the province who spend a large part of their income on fuel would hardly make ends meet with the new prices. The lord of the Élysée Palace doesn’t care. He orders a porcelain set for 500,000 million eurosand the Élysée’s budget of 109 million euros a year is three times higher than that of the German Chancellery. Continue reading

Saudi Arabia and China are preparing for war

The fact that Saudis want to control Yemen and the Chinese are increasing their presence in Myanmar is a preparation for the conflicts that may soon flare up. It is about securing the flanks.

The war in Yemen is being waged more and more brutally by the Saudis. The weapons of the Saudi army supplied by the USA hit the civilian population more and more often. The central bank moved from Sanaa to Aden by order of the Saudis prints money in heaps, so that the population cannot afford food due to galloping inflation. Why genocide? It is not about ideology, or religious differences between Huthis (Shiites) and the rest of the people of Yemen (Sunnis). One of the reasons can be oil. The reserves of black gold discovered in the northern province of Yemen, Al-Jawf, are said to be larger than the Saudi reserves.A bargain for Saudis. But the most important thing for them at the moment is to prepare for the direct conflict with Iran. If war were to break out, Iran would block the oil transit bottleneck in the Strait of Ormuz. Saudi Arabia therefore needs to secure access to the 27 miles wide strait between the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden and thus its oil exports. The road is called Bab al-mandeb (Gate of Tears) in Arabic. If it is also blocked by enemies of the Saudis, there will certainly be many reasons for Riyadh to cry. Continue reading

The European Project Comes to an End

The end of the EU and the Balkans as China’s foothold in Europe

Though the end of the European Union is inevitable, the proponents of a further integrated or federal superstate are busy making a last effort to achieve their goal. The opposition against the project is mounting with every day. Europe is suffering from economic stagnation, and is facing a demographic calamity.

The pro-European establishment’s last hope was the newly-elected French President Emanuel Macron who was to revive the economy and integrate the European Union under French leadership. Gefira was of the opinion that all these expectations were misplaced. The once great nation is broken beyond repair. France’s problems are much worse than those of Italy. Though Italy has a higher debt-to-GDP ratio than France, France has a larger budget deficit, and the difference is that while Italy has a trade surplus France has a trade deficit, so the country cannot pay for its imports.

Gefira Financial Bullletin #29 is available now

  • European Project Comes to an End.
  • The Balkans
  • Intelligent or automated security is the future

While the Italian “populist” Mateo Salvini is earning the nation’s respect, Emmanuel Macron’s popularity is at a historic low. All of France is engulfed by riots, civil unrest and looting. In city after city, village after village, protesters have been clashing with the police for weeks now while President Macron has nothing to offer to appease them, unless he violates the budget deficit boundary of 3%.

Like the Soviet Union once was, France is a sizeable social-multicultural experiment, and like the empty shops in communist countries, the demographic changes in France are visible in every section of the society, but nobody dares to name them. Once the whole world saw that the French team playing at the FIFA World Cup was made up of almost exclusively Africans, and even on Twitter Africans boasted about it. Yet, the French establishment insisted that those Africans were genuinely French. Dissenters were branded as racists or Nazis. Continue reading

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Gefira-Bulletin #30

The first issue of the 2019 Gefira turns our attention to the more than a century old economic, philosophical and social movement commonly known as Marxism. Our readers will have remembered last year's unveiling of the monument – a gift from the People's Republic of China - to Karl Marx in Trier and the ensuing commemorations of the philosopher and his ideas held – of all the places – in a church. Despite the spectacular debacle of real socialism in Eastern Europe, despite the collapse of the Soviet Union and despite the triumphant march of capitalism in an otherwise formally communist China, Marxism in the West is doing well. Just as a reminder: It is a philosophy which – painted with a broad brush – perceives the world as the combat between the oppressors (basically owners of the means of production plus the creators of the cultural superstructure that serves their interests) and the oppressed (originally a narrow term denoting people who could only sell their work, nowadays extended to women, homosexuals, non-white people, or generally all kinds of minorities). Marxism combats the former and advances the latter. The left-wing parties are popular and their rank-and-file members or sympathizers are recruited from the swaths of disgruntled, often unemployed, young people.

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The first issue of the 2019 Gefira turns our attention to the more than a century old economic, philosophical and social movement commonly known as Marxism. Our readers will have remembered last year's unveiling of the monument – a gift from the People's Republic of China - to Karl Marx in Trier and the ensuing commemorations of the philosopher and his ideas held – of all the places – in a church. Despite the spectacular debacle of real socialism in Eastern Europe, despite the collapse of the Soviet Union and despite the triumphant march of capitalism in an otherwise formally communist China, Marxism in the West is doing well. Just as a reminder: It is a philosophy which – painted with a broad brush – perceives the world as the combat between the oppressors (basically owners of the means of production plus the creators of the cultural superstructure that serves their interests) and the oppressed (originally a narrow term denoting people who could only sell their work, nowadays extended to women, homosexuals, non-white people, or generally all kinds of minorities). Marxism combats the former and advances the latter. The left-wing parties are popular and their rank-and-file members or sympathizers are recruited from the swaths of disgruntled, often unemployed, young people.

Socialist ideas are are so very well rooted in our minds that even the right-wing parties are not aware of how much leftist some or most of their ideas are. The European Union itself is made up of social(ist) states whose governments pursue a policy of social justice, a typically Marxist tenet. What strikes as qualitatively new is the symbiosis between highly placed left wing politicians and the financiers or bankers i.e. between social justice warriors and capitalists who, as mentioned above, originally belonged to the hated class of the oppressors. One might say, the Chinese model in reverse. Beijing, which is formally communist, has opted for capitalist economy, whereas Europe, which is formally capitalist, has opted for socialist redistribution of wealth.

Also the Green movement is a branch of Marxism. It is the plant and animal world that are perceived by the movement's activists as the oppressed and humanity – as the oppressors. It is due to the pressure exerted by this movement that the Western world has decided on the great energy transition, giving up on fossil fuels and adopting renewables instead. The exchange of tens of millions of vehicles from those running on petrol or diesel to those powered by electricity that is planned to take place within more or less a decade (depending on a country) is a revolutionary step of huge proportions whose economic and what follows social outcome is difficult to predict. Read more subscribe:

Gefira 30 Content

The portents are not good.
The revolution of the middle class.
Societies have turned themselves into collective doomsday preppers.

Possessed by an ideology: The re-emergence of Marxism
Ideologies possess us.
Eternal Marxism.
Marxist gurus.
The socialists just hate the rich.

The Green Party, Communists and Governing Corporations.
Socialist ideas among German parties.
Socialists march hand in hand with capitalists.

Recommendations.
Energy transition.
Rare earths and metals.

Gefira-Bulletin #29

This bulletin takes us on a trip to France and the Balkans. The former has been torn by numerous protests commonly referred to as yellow vests. The financial burden imposed on society was merely a trigger, the last drop rather than the only cause of the unrest. The French people are voicing their mounting anger at what has been happening to their country for years now: lack of genuine reforms, arrogance of the ruling classes, purposeful ethnic replacement and, and, and. Since France is one of the main pillars of the European Union, its collapse bodes ill for the whole. President Macron is attempting to involve Germany in the problems of its own country, obviously believing in the adage that a trouble shared is a trouble halved. The Balkan ethnic conflicts are far from being appeased: the nine(!) political entities that have been created on the ruins of the former Yugoslavia have arbitrarily drawn borders, people who belong are not allowed to live together (Serbs in Republika Srpska and Serbs in Serbia, to give an example), rumour is doing rounds that Albanians in Kosovo are about to form their own military troops not to mention the political and economic presence in this region of the United States, European Union, Russia, Turkey and – last but not least – China, a new player on the scene. The Balkans are being torn between East and West and the scars of the numerous wars have not been healed. Social unrest, parallel societies, no-go zones and ethnic tensions in Europe with the attendant phenomena of the citizens feeling insecure are increasingly making the manufacturing of intelligent and automated security equipment more and more profitable. Is that the continent's future?

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This bulletin takes us on a trip to France and the Balkans. The former has been torn by numerous protests commonly referred to as yellow vests. The financial burden imposed on society was merely a trigger, the last drop rather than the only cause of the unrest. The French people are voicing their mounting anger at what has been happening to their country for years now: lack of genuine reforms, arrogance of the ruling classes, purposeful ethnic replacement and, and, and. Since France is one of the main pillars of the European Union, its collapse bodes ill for the whole. President Macron is attempting to involve Germany in the problems of its own country, obviously believing in the adage that a trouble shared is a trouble halved.

The Balkan ethnic conflicts are far from being appeased: the nine(!) political entities that have been created on the ruins of the former Yugoslavia have arbitrarily drawn borders, people who belong are not allowed to live together (Serbs in Republika Srpska and Serbs in Serbia, to give an example), rumour is doing rounds that Albanians in Kosovo are about to form their own military troops not to mention the political and economic presence in this region of the United States, European Union, Russia, Turkey and – last but not least – China, a new player on the scene. The Balkans are being torn between East and West and the scars of the numerous wars have not been healed.

Social unrest, parallel societies, no-go zones and ethnic tensions in Europe with the attendant phenomena of the citizens feeling insecure are increasingly making the manufacturing of intelligent and automated security equipment more and more profitable. Is that the continent's future? Read more subscribe:

Gefira 29 Content

European Project Comes to an End.
The yellow vests spell the end of the Fifth Republic and of the European Union.
Integration of the European Union into one superstate.
Implementation of the climate change policies.
Transformation of France into a post European country.
Where are we heading.

The Balkans
Language and ethnicity.
A bit of history and an insight into policy making.
The political present.
Possible scenarios.
China and the Balkans’ economy.

Recommendations.
Oil.
Intelligent or automated security is the future.

 
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