The incredibly shrinking Italian population: By 2080, Italians will be a minority in their own country

Though the official data shows that Italy’s population was growing until 2015 and according to a Eurostat projection it will stabilize within the next decades, the number of indigenous citizens is shrinking with an astonishing pace: every year by a quarter of a million, and this decline will accelerate. That means that the projected demographic growth can only be achieved by mass migration from Africa and Central Asia. Currently most migrants in Italy are from Romania but that number is declining rapidly. There will be less and less migration from other European countries because all European nations are in a dramatic demographic decline and because due to the prolonged Italian economic crisis the country is not a prime destination for people from other European states.

If the official Eurostat forecast is correct, then within 60 years or, taking into consideration the current pace of migration even sooner, 50% of Italy’s inhabitants will be of African or Asian descent. The figures found by our demographic-research team are by far not unique and government statisticians have the same numbers. Not only are the Italian and European authorities fully aware of this, but they seem to be executing a re-population program on such a monumental scale that will dwarf the Swedish mass migration experiment. Continue reading

Euro – a disaster – failed monetary unions past and present

A glance at history

The beginnings of monetary union can be traced back to attempts to unify the coin standard. Emperor Augustus successfully unified the coins in the Roman Empire – for over 400 years the gold coins were minted almost exclusively with the seal of the Roman Emperor. The fall of the Roman Empire, caused among other things by its multiculturalism and multinationality, led to the disintegration of the state and to the deterioration of the coin value through a lower proportion of gold or silver. Until the 19th century, the fragmentation of the right to mint coins to the regional rulers led to the fact that the profit resulting from the creation of money from the difference between metal value and production costs and the value of the coins issued was no longer allocated only to a feudal ruler. In the 19th century, completely new methods of creating money emerged for the ruling classes – paper standards were gradually introduced. The paper standard should no longer be based on gold or silver parity, but should be secured by appropriate policy of the central bank, especially by influencing interest rates. In the 19th century, monetary unions were developed, on which the idea of the euro was based. All failed. Continue reading

The collapse of the South Korean population: the countdown has begun

In the coming ten years eighty percent of the G20 countries will be facing an unprecedented population decline that will change the global economy profoundly. Economists and financial planners had better be aware of the coming demographic collapse in the so called developed world. Successful economies are literally on a path to extinction while those doing terribly are growing like weeds. The UN population projections are far too optimistic and have little to do with reality. The extreme low fertility rates in industrialized nation contradict the UN rosy-coloured forecasts. The South Korean government’s prognosis shows that within seven years the country’s population will start to shrink and, if the trend holds, the nation will go extinct in the far future. South Korea’s demographic collapse coincides with that of China; Japan is already shrinking at an incredible pace. The world’s second, third and eleventh economies will see their working force and consuming base becoming smaller and smaller, and somehow renowned analysts see no problem. As a rule of thumb, the working-age population, the group that produces and consumes the most, started to shrink ten years earlier. Continue reading

No, the EU isn’t militarizing Africa to halt migration but simply to organize it

We offer a counter-analysis to “EU Militarizes Africa to Halt Migration” that appeared on Strategic Culture Foundation.While the original article offers an interesting study of the latest neo-imperialist military involvement of European countries in Africa, spearheaded by French President Macron, we beg to differ on what is going to be the impact on migration flows and what are the EU goals. Recent events suggest a rather different conclusion. Let’s go in order.

Last summer, when the news that NGOs were shipping migrants to Italy and cooperating with traffickers surfaced, the newly elected Emmanuel Macron quickly came up with a solution: hotspots in Africa where people seeking protection could go to and apply for the status of refugee,and, if granted such a status, could be moved to Europe in an official way. Continue reading

Prague rebelled against Rome, then Moscow and now Brussels

Prague, the beginning of the 15th century. This central European city that could boast the first university east of the Elbe, the city, which for all practical purposes during the reign of Charles IV was the capital of the Holy Roman Empire, had an interdict imposed on it by the pope. It meant no masses could be said, no burials performed, no sacraments dispensed. People were frightened out of their wits: after all, their salvation was at stake and you could not be saved outside the Church.

Why was Prague banned from the “polite” European community? Because one of her preachers, John Hus, preached a different kind of Christianity than that taught by Rome. He was condemned. He was called out as a heretic. The interdict imposed on Prague was a kind of pressure exerted on the Czech authorities as well as on the whole society to gag John Hus’s mouth, and thus to stop the proliferation of his teachings. The Czech lay and ecclesiastical authorities caved in. Continue reading

Bannon’s target isn’t Trump, it’s still Kushner

2018 doesn’t look like it’ll be a quiet year: Iranian protests continue, and so do Trump and Kim Jong Un in their phallic measuring contest with nuclear weapons (“I have the button on my desk”“Oh yeah? I do, too, and mine is bigger”).

The former Chief Strategist Steve Bannon fires up the feud against his nemesis during the White House days, Jared Kushner.

The January 3rd edition of the British newspaper Guardianopens with “explosive revelations”. Michael Wolff interviews Steve Bannon about the latter’s book “Fire and Fury: inside the Trump White House”, which calls Donald Jr’s (Trump’s first born son) meetings with the Russian lawyer Natalia Veselnitskaya “treasonous” and “unpatriotic”.

Most media stop there. Most liberals, fuelled by their hatred towards Donald Trump, also stop there and take it to Twitter because that’s how far their political slacktivism can go. Then Trump replied on the wave of emotions and everything went nuclear. Since everyone seems to be too emotional not only to read through the lines, but actually to simply read the lines, we’ll offer some strategic analysis and put everything into context. Continue reading

Facebook helps the African exodus to Europe

In Europe, social media like Facebook and Twitter are removing posts and blocking authors opposing mass migration from the Third World as hate speech. The hostile attitude to literally hundreds of thousands of Africans from Nigeria, Morocco or Ghana flooding Italy, Sweden or Germany is considered extremist behaviour by them. At the same time Facebook and Twitter are instrumental in the biggest human exodus in modern history. Social media have not been limited to a communication or marketing function for a long time. Platforms like Facebook and Twitter contribute to the creation of the political situation, as the events related to the Arab Spring or Kiev’s Euromaidan. Social networks have also become a channel that helps to organize the transfer of Africans to Europe. Continue reading

Markets at the end of 2017 – a look at the year 2018

Every market analyst and observer believes that the markets always strive for a balance: the bull market is followed by the bear market and conversely. The art is to follow these waves.

Gefira Financial Bullletin #19 is Available now

We have been observing for over a year now, since the election of Trump as President, a huge wave of confidence. The financial markets believed in his policies and the strength of the American economy. The main indicators of the American stock markets are reaching one high after the other, breaking record after record. Investors are speculating on Trump’s tax reform, which promises huge relief for companies: corporate tax will be reduced from 35 to 20 percent. Private households will also pay lower taxes, but all special deductions will be abolished, so that the reform will not mean any changes for most citizens in the long term and will even be unfavourable for the poorest. Trump signed the Senate’s reform at Christmas, and now a correction is more likely to occur than further record-breaking, as markets are lacking a driving force for further growth. It is paradoxical, but good news only revives the stock markets in the short term, till profits are usually made. At present investors are waiting because they want to book profits for this accounting year, and now that they can, they will most likely reap them.

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Gefira-Bulletin #19

Gefira #19 deals with the insoluble European economic imbalance, President Trump’s Jerusalem announcement as a brilliant move that has little to do with Israel, the revival of Central Europe, and Erdoğan’s grand plan for the Old Continent.

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Gefira #19 deals with the insoluble European economic imbalance, President Trump’s Jerusalem announcement as a brilliant move that has little to do with Israel, the revival of Central Europe, and Erdoğan’s grand plan for the Old Continent. Read more subscribe:

Gefira 19 Content

United States oil independence
The Jewish interest
Turkey, the new Ottomans

France’s labour reforms, a lot of fuss about nothing.
The Visegrád Group on the rise.
Prepare for the comeback of Central Europe
Why Poland

Why shares of small Polish companies
The United Kingdom will be the first Western country to implode

Gefira-Bulletin #18

Real estate, bonds, cryptocurrencies and stocks are at an all-time high, and many economists and analysts are warning of a bubble that can burst at any moment. However, there is one asset class that is still very cheap and that is energy. The price of a barrel of oil has increased a little, but it is relatively low.

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Real estate, bonds, cryptocurrencies and stocks are at an all-time high, and many economists and analysts are warning of a bubble that can burst at any moment. However, there is one asset class that is still very cheap and that is energy. The price of a barrel of oil has increased a little, but it is relatively low. Affordable energy prices in combination with free money are the drivers of economic growth in Europe, Asia, and the US. The Gefira team expects that the global economy will come crashing down as the oil price starts soaring again in the coming years. A steep increase in oil price will benefit shale oil producers and is necessary to make the US independent, but it will harm China and Europe. The US Middle East policy objectives are meant to secure oil supply for the US and its Western allies. Now that China has overtaken the US as the largest oil importer, the Chinese are the beneficiaries of this policy. This new reality will change the US Middle East policy. Now a higher oil price will cause more mayhem in the Middle East, which can be to Washington’s advantage. Disrupting one’s competitors’ supply chain and supporting domestic producers is nothing new in history. Read more subscribe:

Gefira 18 Content

Economy and demographics
The future of oil
China the last man standing

The US oil strategy is leaving the Middle East and moving to Texas
A higher oil price: Putin wins, Europe loses
Russia and the US joint interest: more chaos in the Middle East
The future of oil

Currencies – a brief overview
Venezuela is a geopolitical debt problem

 
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