In 300 years there are only 300 Japanese left

The world’s third largest economy has an aging and shrinking population and will simply disappear. The low fertility is not unique to Japan. The same problem besets Taiwan, China and Korea as well as the United States and Europe. In the West the establishment has opted for population replacement. Countries like the UK, France and Sweden see a population growth only thanks to mass migration from Africa and Central Asia. The US replenished its dwindling population stock with migrants from Mexico to such an extent that in some counties Spanish is now the language of the majority.

After the Second World War Japan experienced the post-war baby boom. In 1948 a law was passed, most probably serving American interests, enabling easy access to abortion. At that time the fertility rate (average number of children born to a woman over her lifetime1)Total fertility rate, Wikipedia.org 2017-12-01. was more or less stable – about 2,1 – which is the level needed to maintain population. However, in 1973 it started to decline rapidly and in 2005 it reached the lowest value of 1,26; in the same year the number of deaths has been higher than the number of births. Nowadays it stands at about 1,46. The statistics are devastating: every hour Japan’s population is dropping by about 51 people.




No other nation is ageing so fast and nowhere do we have as many centenarians (1/5 of their world’s population). Twenty years ago the 40-50 and 20-30 age-groups were the largest, now about one-third of the Japanese are above 65 years old and the number of people aged 60+ continues to increase.

What is the reason for this phenomenon? The answer is simple: lack of children. The Japanese society focused on production of goods rather than the production of offspring.

The Japanese are accustomed to living a comfortable life and all too often they choose a career over a family. Marriages are concluded later and fewer. 1 in 4 men and 1 in 7 women remain unmarried at age 50 (not including divorcees and widows or widowers).2)1 in 4 men, 1 in 7 women in Japan still unmarried at age 50: report, The Japan Times 2017-11-29. There is no equilibrium between public and private life. Japanese work overtime and do night shifts, socialize with professional colleagues and go on business trips. Many young people have temporary and part-time jobs without social benefits and with a low salary, so they say they cannot afford children. The employers do not support mothers. Employment with mothers and pregnant women is often discontinued. Because of insufficient daycare for children and lack of kindergartens 70% of women who have their first child stop working for at least 10 years.3)Holding back half the nation, The Economist 2017-11-28. Costs of child raising are high. Even older people (and they are the big part of the Japanese society) are not well-disposed to children who disturb them with their noisy behaviour. There are cases where the playgrounds, playing fields or other facilities for children have been removed for this reason.4)Growing restrictions make for frustrated park users, Japan Today 2017-11-27. The problems in western societies are similar. Women are encouraged to have a professional carrier, which enlarges workforce and productivity. On the other hand the declining and aging population translates into a drop in workforce and less consumption and the resultant slowdown of economic growth and a smaller GDP. If the nation’s total tax revenues decrease, there is little money to pay for the maintenance of the infrastructure.5)Japan’s depopulation time bomb, The Japan Times 2017-11-28. The demand for health care will be bigger and it will lead to its increasing costs. The real-estate market, the traditional driver of credit creation, will collapse. There will be more and more abandoned buildings and empty places. The number of unoccupied dwellings has increased from 0.43 % in 1948 to almost 15% in 2017. Rural areas are the first to become empty. In 20 years the area of abandoned land is likely to reach the size of Austria.6)Abandoned land in Japan will be the size of Austria by 2040, Quartz 2017-11-30.


Japan’s depopulation will affect many states – the US, China, South-East Asia, Saudi Arabia, Australia and Europe – because the country is the world’s 4th largest exporter and 5th largest importer. The US will lose its 4th largest business partner. These countries may experience problems with the import of machines like computers, broadcasting equipment and automobiles.7)The Observatory of Economics Complexity, Atlas.media.mit.edu 2017-12-01. Most economists failed to understand the devastating effects of the drastic and unprecedented change in the population.

Japan’s shrinking population is a result of many factors from the recent past. Surely, the publication of a “women’s handbook”8)The Mother and Child Health Handbook in Japan as a Health Promotion Tool: An Overview of Its History, Contents, Use, Benefits, and Global Influence, The National Center for Biotechnology Information 2017-11-30. educating them about fertility and used as the promotion tool is not enough to encourage them to have children. It is hard to reverse the declining trend. What can be done? Japan, like the white man’s world, could be more open to immigrants. If Japan succeeded in having immigrants settle down in their country, then the Japanese race, culture, traditions would vanish and the nation wouldn’t survive in anything but the name. The Japanese government will not opt for such a solution.

Japan’s population is likely to become ever smaller. In the beginning, the living standards would rise because of the smaller density and smaller consumption of natural resources. Even so, the country would drop from the list of the biggest economies. Eventually, the number of people could only level out if the fertility increased to 2,1. This can only be done by changing the mindset of the average citizen. If the government fails to change the people’s attitude to having children, then before 300 years elapse, the Japanese population will have shrunk to 300.

Japan’s plight is shared by all developed countries in Asia and Europe. The world likes to portrait Japan as a case on its own, and economists and politicians prefer to ignore demographic reality. Europe is trying to solve the problem by importing Third World people. It is a weird reversed colonization experiment. What an irony! The French elites were not able to rule over the Algerians in Algiers, now they are trying to manage the Algerian population in Paris. There is no reason to believe the outcome will be much different. China will join the club of shrinking population countries between 2025 and 2030. The developed countries have to be prepared for a Japanese scenario on a global scale. And one should be warned, the Keynesian theory, the Modern Money Theory or the Austrian school of economic thought will not have a solution for the current economic state of affairs.

References   [ + ]

1. Total fertility rate, Wikipedia.org 2017-12-01.
2. 1 in 4 men, 1 in 7 women in Japan still unmarried at age 50: report, The Japan Times 2017-11-29.
3. Holding back half the nation, The Economist 2017-11-28.
4. Growing restrictions make for frustrated park users, Japan Today 2017-11-27.
5. Japan’s depopulation time bomb, The Japan Times 2017-11-28.
6. Abandoned land in Japan will be the size of Austria by 2040, Quartz 2017-11-30.
7. The Observatory of Economics Complexity, Atlas.media.mit.edu 2017-12-01.
8. The Mother and Child Health Handbook in Japan as a Health Promotion Tool: An Overview of Its History, Contents, Use, Benefits, and Global Influence, The National Center for Biotechnology Information 2017-11-30.

6 comments on “In 300 years there are only 300 Japanese left

  • How succinct: “If Japan succeeded in having immigrants settle down in their country, then the Japanese race, culture, traditions would vanish and the nation wouldn’t survive in anything but the name.”
    Our corrupt and incompetent “Elites” (aka “traitors”) force ethnic displacement upon us in the name of multiculturalism. “Anti-misogyny” laws (aka “anti male”) is now a policy to to subjugate the most productive in society in order to confiscate wealth and children. Racism (aka anti white) is also a policy tool to subjugate the original ethnic races of the land.
    Where does this eventually lead? As it always does… a repudiation of the system in war, violence and chaos – a civilization revolution (aka “Dark age”).
    This century will not be a happy one. My advice is to build resilience because our decent is baked in the pie… and it falls apart next decade when the welfare state no longer delivers.

    Reply
  • Kill the mechantilists ………… Ever notice “capitalism” is NEVER mentioned in the Constitution. You have a RIGHT to your property, but so-called “capitalism” is never mentioned.
    Thank “capitalism”…. Instead of having babies/families White Christians were “diverted” into working their lives away to PRODUCE in the name of Capitalism ……. People worked to serve the “machine” instead of the Machine serving Christ.
    Talk about BAD STEWARDS ….. the 1% has utterly failed Christ and HIS People. Their businesses should have been the basis for providing life’s necessities for the Community of Christ. Instead they are providing a petrie dish for growing the disease of barbarism from paganism at home to invading ISLAM. Without a Christian base and Western philosophy the laws that allow these corporations would never have been written.
    Yes, communism/socialism are worse, but not by much. Christians should have been raising Children, not the bank accounts of the 1%.
    Instead of working to create a strong, healthy, growing, society, the Rich “Harvested the corners of the fields” and gathered every grain into THEIR castles and cared not for the Culture and Religion that made their very existence possible.

    Reply
  • Steven Rowlandson says:

    Population growth is inversely proportional to real estate values and the excesses of social engineering. It has nothing to do with sperm or egg cell counts. If living is affordable and people are allowed to be normal and natural they will get together and have families. If you mess with that for the sake of profits or some kind of race mixing , sexual or economic perversion then your people will die out. The reward for sin is death.

    Reply
  • All you have to do is to look to Sweden to see what bringing masses of unemployable and violent people from the middle east will do to a generally peaceful Swedish culture. Rape gangs, no go zones where even the police stay out of and areas of Sharia law where the laws of Sweden are ignored. This is what happens when a people listen to lying socialist politicians instead of learning from history what it means to abandon their culture. Every politician who voted for this should be required to live for a year in this man made sewer for what they have done.

    Reply
    • Steven Rowlandson says:

      Rocketman that is too good for them. Considering the culture the Blood Eagle ritual and or impalement ought to be performed on those anti white traitors.

      Reply

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