Global Analysis from the European Perspective. Preparing for the world of tomorrow

Saudi Arabia and China are preparing for war

The fact that Saudis want to control Yemen and the Chinese are increasing their presence in Myanmar is a preparation for the conflicts that may soon flare up. It is about securing the flanks.

The war in Yemen is being waged more and more brutally by the Saudis. The weapons of the Saudi army supplied by the USA hit the civilian population more and more often. The central bank moved from Sanaa to Aden by order of the Saudis prints money in heaps, so that the population cannot afford food due to galloping inflation. Why genocide? It is not about ideology, or religious differences between Huthis (Shiites) and the rest of the people of Yemen (Sunnis). One of the reasons can be oil. The reserves of black gold discovered in the northern province of Yemen, Al-Jawf, are said to be larger than the Saudi reserves.1)Yemen‘s vast potential, Hanan Al-Akry, Al-Ahram weekly.A bargain for Saudis. But the most important thing for them at the moment is to prepare for the direct conflict with Iran. If war were to break out, Iran would block the oil transit bottleneck in the Strait of Ormuz. Saudi Arabia therefore needs to secure access to the 27 miles wide strait between the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden and thus its oil exports. The road is called Bab al-mandeb (Gate of Tears) in Arabic. If it is also blocked by enemies of the Saudis, there will certainly be many reasons for Riyadh to cry.

For China, however, it is the Strait of Malacca that is of strategic importance. Since the Chinese are increasingly aggressive on the South China Sea, have artificial islands built and are on a collision course with countries such as Vietnam, the Philippines and the USA, they must be on their guard when it comes to their most important trade and transport routes. A glance at the map of Southeast Asia is enough to understand what alternative there is for the Chinese when it comes to sea routes. It is Myanmar.

Myanmar, as in Yemen, has recently been the scene of brutal killings of civilians. Again, there was no military intervention by Western countries. The reason? The murder of Rohingyas, the Sunni minority in Buddhist Myanmar, was provoked by US forces to complicate China’s investment in Arakan province, where Rohingyas live. George Soros has been active there since 2010 with the “Burma Task Force” he finances. When he comes to a country, he looks for religious, ethnic or political contradictions and tries to heat them up in order to destabilize the country and achieve his goals. In the case of Myanmar, it is also about destabilizing the situation in Southeast Asia.

The conflict over Muslims is driving a wedge between Myanmar and Muslim countries in the region: Indonesia and Malaysia. In Arakan (also known as Rakhine), as in Yemen, huge resources of the precious raw material were discovered in 2004, but in contrast to Yemen it is natural gas that is at stake. The Chinese built a pipeline from Rakhine to Junan for $2.45 billion. It is an important part of their New Silk Road project, which involves more than 100 countries and is intended to make China less dependent on the South China Sea. The pipeline of the state-owned Chinese company China National Petroleum Corporation has a capacity of 22 million tons of crude oil per year and, together with Chinese plants in Chittagong in Bangladesh, Gwadar in Pakistan and Colombo in Sri Lanka, forms the basis for supplying China with crude oil in the event of a war on the South China Sea. The Chinese have simply bought Myanmar in order to ensure their rearguard in Myanmar: they want to take an 85% stake in the strategic port in Kyaukphyu. A special economic zone, a joint venture between the government of China and Myanmar, is also being created in the city for 10 billion dollars on 1700 ha.2)Gov’t Signs MoU with Beijing to Build China-Myanmar Economic Corridor, Nan Lin, The Irrawady 2018-09-13.The corridor in Myanmar will enable China to wage war in East Asia.

In the old Chinese book on warfare “Sunzi – the art of war” we read: “The place where we want to fight must not become known, so that the enemy must prepare for attacks in several places; so his troops are scattered in many directions, and the number of those we face at each of these points will be relatively low. (…) If he sends reinforcements in all directions, he is weakened everywhere.” Say: Donald Trump.

References   [ + ]

1. Yemen‘s vast potential, Hanan Al-Akry, Al-Ahram weekly.
2. Gov’t Signs MoU with Beijing to Build China-Myanmar Economic Corridor, Nan Lin, The Irrawady 2018-09-13.

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