The new Fed director wants the US middle class to pay for the next crisis

The central bankers have used all sorts of tools. If the next crisis comes, they have nothing left. When the markets crash, their motto is: Close your eyes and let print even more money. Jerome Powell can be an exception, however.

Draghi and Yellen have perfected their image as perfect bail-out bankers in recent years: Draghi flooded Europe’s financial markets with cheap money and rescued Greece from the downward spiral with billions in aid; every time the US stock market lost more than 2% last year, someone from Yellens Fed appeared and assured the uncertain investors that the American economy was doing fine. Both used all possible tricks to boost economies and prevent the next crisis: they introduced zero interest rates, bought bonds and shares, even from private companies. Now Draghi’s ECB is still unprepared for the next crisis, as it has no funds left unless it introduces negative interest rates. Continue reading

South Korea needs North Korea to prevent its economic downfall

Recently, North Korean leader Kim Jong-un said he wanted “to vigorously advance” inter- Korean links and his goal is reunification.On 27th April he met Mun Dze In, leader of South Korea.

Strategists, politicians and economists are ignoring the depopulation that is taking place, the single most crucial issue that will make or break the nation, shape the global economy and geopolitical order. The South Korean overall population has just started to shrink whith its working age population is in a free fall. In 30 years it will have decreased by 10 to 20%!

South Korea suffers a labour shortage. Ten percent of the positions in the electronic industry remain vacant, and the worse is still ahead. At the end of last year the South Korean government said that in the following year it would accept 56,000 foreign workers on the low-skilled work scheme, the same number as in the current year, as part of its efforts to tackle the labour shortage. A shrinking population brings about replacement migration, and it will destroy the national culture and society as it is happening in Western Europe and the United States. Continue reading

More Muslims needed in Europe to make the Saudi dream come true!

Without the organised mass-migration all Western and Eastern populations are in full demographic decline, and before this century comes to an end the most productive and consumptive societies will shrink by 60%. The US and European populations only keep growing because unprecedented and ever-rising numbers of migrants arrive annually. This is no conspiracy but a mathematical fact. In Japan, a country that keeps its borders closed, oil consumption has dropped by a staggering 25% since 2000.As a consequence of the inevitable depopulation of the industrialised world oil consumption will fall by at least more than 40 mln barrels a day shortly.

To keep oil consumption at high levels, it is in the interest of the Saudis to repopulate Europe and the US with men and women from Central Asia and Africa. Professor Bryan Caplan argued in The Economist that labour is the world’s most valuable commodity and its value depends on location. Western societies are more structured and organised than their Mexican or Nigerian counterparts, and unskilled workers will be more productive in a factory in Germany or a farm in the USA than in AfricaThe Wall Street speculator George Soros explained that Europe should accept 500.000 migrants annually and finance this with public debt.He realizes that a 60% drop in the European population will decrease consumption by the same amount. Depopulation will cripple world consumption and will slash world oil demand by at least one third. Continue reading

EU chief Juncker celebrates Karl Marx’s birthday paid by Chinese communists

A few days ago European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker (an EU apparatchik with a number of honorary rewards equalling that received by Leonid Brezhnev, the erstwhile secretary general of the Supreme Soviet) delivered a speech in the Trier Basilica commemorating the 200th anniversary of Karl Marx’s birth and unveiled a huge monument to the top ideologue of the leftist movement, a monument donated – of all the world’s countries – by China and sculpted by Chinese artist Wu Weishan. The significance of the event should not be lost on anybody. Let us remark with care:

One: A leftist speaker, an EU commissioner (which is another form of the word commissar, and commissar was the name for the ministers who made up the collective dictatorship in the early years of Soviet Russia and during the times of the Commune of Paris of 1871) used the Trier Basilica, one of the most important shrines of Christianity to praise to the heavens an atheist who went down in history as someone who described religion as the opium (opiate) for the people and of the people. Continue reading

Oil price will skyrocket by 2020

Since 2016 when the oil price was below 40 dollars per barrel, the Gefira analysts wrote over and over again, that it would be back over the hundred dollars per barrel by 2020. World oil production is about 98 million barrels per day, and in the second half of this year, oil demand will break a historical threshold of 100 MB/d. The 3 top producers – the US, Saudi Arabia and Russia – are responsible for 33% of the world oil production. The US produces about 10 million barrels of oil, and it also imports 8 million barrels oil per day. 18% of all consumed oil in the world finds its way to US storages or refineries.

Both the US and Saudi Arabia not to mention Russia desperately need a much higher price of oil. The US will issue an unusual amount of treasuries in the coming years as the budget deficit reaches new highs, and the Federal Reserve began selling its US debt holdings. High oil prices are a tax on the US and European consumers, collected by foreign oil producers and the surplus profits are reinvested in sovereign wealth funds which buy US securities and debt obligations. Four of the top five most significant sovereign wealth funds received their revenue from oil; Norway’s Government Pension Fund Global, Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, Kuwait Investment Authority, and SAMA Foreign Holdings (Saudi Arabia). Continue reading

The UN Supreme Soviet is set to mix nations in the name of a better world

The United Nations has launched a migration report under the title: Making Migration Work for All. During a session UN Secretary General António Guterres delivered a speech, followed by an accolade from Louise Arbour, Special Representative of the Secretary General for International Migration. The other participants chipped in with their submissive praises. The whole UN agenda has also been released under the title of Making Migration Work for All.

In his speech the Secretary General said among others (emphasis added):

Let me emphasize: migration is a positive global phenomenon. It powers economic growth, reduces inequalities, connects diverse societies and helps us ride the demographic waves of population growth and decline. (…) Authorities that erect major obstacles to migration — or place severe restrictions on migrants’ work opportunities — inflict needless economic self-harm, as they impose barriers to having their labour needs met in an orderly and legal fashion. Worse still, they unintentionally encourage illegal migration. Aspiring migrants, denied legal pathways to travel, inevitably fall back on irregular methods. (…) The best way to end the stigma of illegality is (…) for Governments to put in place more legal pathways for migration.

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A tsunami of US debt will hit the markets, and by 2020 we will have the next systemic global crisis

The 2020 crisis is the accumulation of the demographic problem which will entail a financial and economic disaster. The world’s most productive populations are ageing and will subsequently disappear.

Politicians, journalists and the financial press are ignoring the flashing warning signs. Economic mavericks like Max Keiser, financial critics like Steve Keen and mainstream economists like Paul Krugman are debating financial repression, monetary and fiscal intervention or allowing for more free markets and more real capitalism. None of them seems to touch on what is plain to see for us all: the youth in the most productive countries is disappearing at a breathtaking pace. States like the US, France and the UK are attempting to make up for it with the acceptance of unprecedented large numbers of unskilled and even undocumented migrants. The 2008 financial crisis and the 2011 euro crisis are portents of what has yet to come.

Gefira Financial Bullletin #23 is available now

  • The US trade deficit is growing at a staggering pace
  • No changes on the Moskva River. Forecast of Russian policy after the presidential election
  • A turn towards Asia and the Middle East

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