Disappearing nations the “new normal” in economics

Ten times a year the Gefira Research Team publishes the Gefira Financial Bulletin, which is indispensable to investors and traders. We are the only ones who provide valuable information and in-depth analysis with a particular focus on the demographic impact on the world’s economy.

Investors need to have greater awareness that before long the developed world will have crossed the demographic Rubicon, reaching a point of no return, where economic growth will no longer be possible. Whatever we may choose to apply, whether Trump’s tax plan, Keynesian stimuli or modern money printing, it will not revive the global economy. Why?

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‘Freed’ by crowd, Saakashvili marches to parliament, calls for Poroshenko’s impeachment

Former Georgian president and Ukrainian politician Mikheil Saakashvili, freed by his supporters after police in Kyiv bungled his arrest on Dec. 5, has now marched on parliament and called on his supporters to oust President Petro Poroshenko. Earlier the day, the law enforcers arrested Saakashvili on the rooftop of his house, but he was freed by his supporters, who blocked the way of a police minivan in which police had attempted to transport the politician in an hours-long standoff. Source Kyivpost

In 300 years there are only 300 Japanese left

The world’s third largest economy has an aging and shrinking population and will simply disappear. The low fertility is not unique to Japan. The same problem besets Taiwan, China and Korea as well as the United States and Europe. In the West the establishment has opted for population replacement. Countries like the UK, France and Sweden see a population growth only thanks to mass migration from Africa and Central Asia. The US replenished its dwindling population stock with migrants from Mexico to such an extent that in some counties Spanish is now the language of the majority.

After the Second World War Japan experienced the post-war baby boom. In 1948 a law was passed, most probably serving American interests, enabling easy access to abortion. At that time the fertility rate (average number of children born to a woman over her lifetime was more or less stable – about 2,1 – which is the level needed to maintain population. However, in 1973 it started to decline rapidly and in 2005 it reached the lowest value of 1,26; in the same year the number of deaths has been higher than the number of births. Nowadays it stands at about 1,46. The statistics are devastating: every hour Japan’s population is dropping by about 51 people. Continue reading